BTSG BrightSpring Health Services · $70.69 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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BrightSpring Health Services · Health Care

BTSG

$70.69
Mixed profile混合特征 Large cap大盘 $14B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$70.69
1.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.2%
Market Cap市值
$14B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
71.8x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.40
Moves about 1.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
64
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-07 (19d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
4th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 BTSG S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.0% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 +9.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 9.1 points跑赢指数 9.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +49.5% +4.7% Beat the index by 44.8 points跑赢指数 44.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +80.3% +7.8% Beat the index by 72.5 points跑赢指数 72.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +84.1% +9.1% Beat the index by 75.0 points跑赢指数 75.0 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +251.7% +19.4% Beat the index by 232.3 points跑赢指数 232.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 64 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +12.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +58.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 4th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$69.66
Don't chase above不追高于
$70.69
Stop止损
$63.08
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

19
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-07

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 BTSG Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 71.82x 28.92
13%
P/B市净率 7.24x 3.52
19%
P/S市销率 1.05x 3.02
82%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 1.39% 2.72
35%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 2.91% 3.94
34%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.32% 1.89
22%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 34.82x 18.21
15%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 34.41x 22.42
24%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$11.3B
2024
$12.9B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-0.09
2024
$0.87
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$57.1M
2024
$394.7M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
11.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
2.3%
Net margin净利率
1.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
3.8%
10.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA5.26
Current ratio流动比率1.57
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$43.2M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$70.1M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+10.3%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.1) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 33% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 33% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.40×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +35.3%空头仓位变动 +35.3%
Technical技术面 BTSG took relative-strength leadershipBTSG 取得相对强弱领先

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2482.8M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$2482.8M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 29 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact止盈。处于日线周期晚期（约 23-44 天中的第 29 天）——即便趋势完好，从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
BTSG took relative-strength leadershipBTSG 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $70.69.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$70.69。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BTSG made a new 52-week highBTSG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $70.50.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$70.50。
Jul 7, 2026
BTSG daily MACD crossed downBTSG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $70.17.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$70.17。
Jul 6, 2026
BTSG made a new 52-week highBTSG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $70.56.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$70.56。
Jun 30, 2026
BTSG made a new 52-week highBTSG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $69.74.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$69.74。
Jun 24, 2026
BTSG made a new 52-week highBTSG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $67.61.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$67.61。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 194 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.39
Value价值
-0.5
Profitability盈利能力
-0.4
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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