AVA
Avista Corporation
·
$41.80
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Avista Corporation · Utilities
AVA
$41.80
Avista Corporation is an American energy company which generates and transmits electricity and distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.阿维斯塔公司（AvistaCorporation）是一家美国能源企业，从事发电、输电以及向居民、商业和工业客户分销天然气业务。
Distressed困境股
Mid cap中盘
$3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$41.80
1.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.5%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
17.8x
22.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.12
Moves about -0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
75th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AVA | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.3 points跑赢指数 1.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.1% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 5.5 points跑赢指数 5.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +1.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 3.4 points落后指数 3.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +6.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 1.3 points落后指数 1.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +10.5% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 1.4 points跑赢指数 1.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +16.9% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 2.5 points落后指数 2.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +25.6% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 43.8 points落后指数 43.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+5.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
75th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$41.35
Don't chase above不追高于
$41.80
Stop止损
$39.40
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AVA | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 17.80x | 22.58 | 78% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.27x | 2.06 | 96% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.75x | 3.01 | 82% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.62% | 4.41 | 80% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -2.94% | -2.94 | 49% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 5.31x | 12.72 | 98% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
7.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.03 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.83 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $9.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +2.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.9)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 81% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 81% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.12×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +15.8%空头仓位变动 +15.8%
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.5M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$0.5M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 9, 2026
TOPPING → UPTREND做顶中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
AVA daily MACD crossed upAVA 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $41.15.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$41.15。
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → TOPPING未确认转向 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 8, 2026
AVA daily MACD crossed downAVA 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $40.87.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$40.87。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
AVA daily MACD crossed upAVA 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $41.24.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$41.24。
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
AVA broke down vs the marketAVA 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $40.66.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$40.66。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 275 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.47
Value价值
+0.7
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
+1.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4
Company Profile公司档案
Avista Corporation is an American energy company which generates and transmits electricity and distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.阿维斯塔公司（AvistaCorporation）是一家美国能源企业，从事发电、输电以及向居民、商业和工业客户分销天然气业务。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Inventory build
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。