Textron · Industrials
TXT
$91.48
Textron Inc. is an American industrial conglomerate based in Providence, Rhode Island.TextronInc.是一家美国工业集团，总部位于罗德岛州普罗维登斯。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$16B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 86.4.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 86.4 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$91.48
9.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 9.2%
Market Cap市值
$16B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
17.3x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.72
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
73th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.7% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | TXT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.6% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.1 points跑赢指数 2.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -1.3% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 1.9 points落后指数 1.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -0.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 4.8 points落后指数 4.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -2.9% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 10.7 points落后指数 10.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +5.1% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 4.0 points落后指数 4.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +7.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 12.2 points落后指数 12.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+2.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
73th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$90.38
Don't chase above不追高于
$91.48
Stop止损
$86.40
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | TXT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 17.31x | 29.89 | 83% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.02x | 3.90 | 81% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.08x | 2.21 | 75% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.78% | 3.10 | 85% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.83% | 3.81 | 74% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.15% | 2.29 | 80% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 17.16x | 25.50 | 71% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
11.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $822.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $81.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -4.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/6
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 78% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 78% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.72×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/6
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
TXT reclaimed its 200-day averageTXT 收复200日均线
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.25%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.04%
Call wall看涨密集区
$95
Put wall看跌密集区
$80
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.6%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; P/C 0.42; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；看跌看涨比 0.42；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$30.0M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$30.0M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 16, 2026
TXT reclaimed its 200-day averageTXT 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $90.64.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$90.64。
Jul 15, 2026
TXT lost its 200-day averageTXT 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $88.75.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$88.75。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 13, 2026
TXT daily MACD crossed downTXT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $89.42.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$89.42。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 8, 2026
TXT broke down vs the marketTXT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $89.83.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$89.83。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
TXT daily MACD crossed upTXT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $91.93.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$91.93。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.21
Value价值
+0.3
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Textron Inc. is an American industrial conglomerate based in Providence, Rhode Island.TextronInc.是一家美国工业集团，总部位于罗德岛州普罗维登斯。
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