Trade Desk (The) · Comm. Services
TTD
$18.59
The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is an American multinational technology company that produces and services programmatic marketing automation with personalized real-time digital content.TheTradeDesk,Inc.(TTD)是一家美国multinational技术公司，提供并服务于个性化实时数字内容的程序化营销自动化。
Broken growth成长受损
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 17.33.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 17.33 下方。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$18.59
79.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 79.3%
Forward P/E预测市盈率
8.7x
Beta贝塔
0.75
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
35th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | TTD | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.8% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.3 points落后指数 3.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +2.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 1.8 points跑赢指数 1.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -17.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 22.0 points落后指数 22.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -47.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 55.4 points落后指数 55.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -50.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 59.8 points落后指数 59.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -77.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 96.6 points落后指数 96.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -79.0% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 148.4 points落后指数 148.4 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | -73.7% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 157.6 points落后指数 157.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (21)Long-term Falling Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-7.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-40.0% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
8
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
35th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$18.00
Don't chase above不追高于
$18.59
Stop止损
$17.33
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -13.3% (20d)财报后漂移：-13.3%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 28.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -28.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
17.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.93 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.61 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.4B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $490.6M |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
0.75×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Communication Services (Equal-Weight) theme — #37 of 46 themes「通信服务（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 37 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
TTD broke down vs the marketTTD 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±5.19%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±11.61%
Call wall看涨密集区
$20
Put wall看跌密集区
$18
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$21
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
1.7%
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$143.4M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)+$143.4M 净值（1 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatue Management | A | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
TTD broke down vs the marketTTD 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $18.59.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$18.59。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 14, 2026
TTD broke down vs the marketTTD 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $18.94.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$18.94。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
TTD daily MACD crossed upTTD 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $18.65.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$18.65。
Jun 26, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A HIGH下跌趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
TTD StochRSI turned up from oversoldTTD StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $18.37.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$18.37。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.19
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Low volatility低波动
-1.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3
Company Profile公司档案
The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is an American multinational technology company that produces and services programmatic marketing automation with personalized real-time digital content.TheTradeDesk,Inc.(TTD)是一家美国multinational技术公司，提供并服务于个性化实时数字内容的程序化营销自动化。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。