TMHC
Taylor Morrison
·
$72.13
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Taylor Morrison · Consumer Disc.
TMHC
$72.13
Taylor Morrison is one of the largest home building companies in the United States. Its corporate headquarters are in Scottsdale, Arizona.TaylorMorrison是美国最大的住宅建筑公司之一，其公司总部位于亚利桑那州斯科茨代尔。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Mid cap中盘
$7B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$72.13
0.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 0.1%
Market Cap市值
$7B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
8.9x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.69
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
72
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
2th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | TMHC | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.9 points跑赢指数 1.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.8% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +18.9% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 14.2 points跑赢指数 14.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +14.0% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 6.2 points跑赢指数 6.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +22.6% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 13.5 points跑赢指数 13.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +14.4% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 5.0 points落后指数 5.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +39.9% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 29.5 points落后指数 29.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
72
Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+7.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+14.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
2th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$71.88
Don't chase above不追高于
$72.13
Stop止损
$71.58
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | TMHC | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 8.90x | 20.23 | 89% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.11x | 2.97 | 86% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.86x | 1.23 | 58% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 11.24% | 4.53 | 91% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 11.16% | 5.69 | 85% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.47% | 4.31 | 65% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 8.96x | 16.53 | 83% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 32.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
12.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
8.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $381.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $29.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -5.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 80% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 80% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.69×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -22.5%空头仓位变动 -22.5%
Technical技术面
TMHC took relative-strength leadershipTMHC 取得相对强弱领先
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.2M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.2M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basswood Capital Management | B | Holding持有 | 1.2% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
TMHC took relative-strength leadershipTMHC 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $72.13.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$72.13。
Jul 16, 2026
TMHC made a new 52-week highTMHC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $72.18.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$72.18。
Jul 16, 2026
TMHC StochRSI turned up from oversoldTMHC StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $72.18.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$72.18。
Jul 14, 2026
TMHC made a new 52-week highTMHC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $71.94.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$71.94。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
TMHC made a new 52-week highTMHC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $71.93.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$71.93。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 252 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.10
Value价值
+1.4
Profitability盈利能力
-0.7
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.4
Low volatility低波动
+0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.3
Company Profile公司档案
Taylor Morrison is one of the largest home building companies in the United States. Its corporate headquarters are in Scottsdale, Arizona.TaylorMorrison是美国最大的住宅建筑公司之一，其公司总部位于亚利桑那州斯科茨代尔。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。