TKO TKO Group Holdings · $185.13 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

TKO Group Holdings · Comm. Services

TKO

$185.13

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) is an American sports and entertainment company.TKOGroupHoldings,Inc.(TKO)是一家美国体育和娱乐公司。

Rate-sensitive利率敏感

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势

A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–2 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–2 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。

Engine levels · 52-week range引擎点位 · 52周区间

$185

$190

$185

$190

$170

$148$227

Price现价 $185Trail stop止损线 $190Don't chase勿追高 $185Call wall看涨期权墙 $190Put wall看跌期权墙 $170 Buy zone买入区 $179–$182

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表 ↗

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$185.13

17.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 17.1%

Forward P/E预测市盈率

39.7x

Beta贝塔

0.53

Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍

Dividend Yield股息收益率

1.68%

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Depressed偏低

Next Earnings下次财报

2026-08-05 (17d)

Volatility Rank波动率分位

75th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期	TKO	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	+0.4%	-1.5%	Beat the index by 1.9 points跑赢指数 1.9 个百分点
1 Month近1月	-4.8%	+0.6%	Lagged the index by 5.4 points落后指数 5.4 个百分点
3 Months近3月	-0.2%	+4.7%	Lagged the index by 4.9 points落后指数 4.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月	-8.2%	+7.8%	Lagged the index by 16.0 points落后指数 16.0 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	-9.8%	+9.1%	Lagged the index by 18.9 points落后指数 18.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年	+11.0%	+19.4%	Lagged the index by 8.4 points落后指数 8.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年	+83.8%	+69.4%	Beat the index by 14.4 points跑赢指数 14.4 个百分点
5 Years近5年	+293.8%	+83.9%	Beat the index by 209.9 points跑赢指数 209.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号

MA Buy (7)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud

RSI (14)RSI（14） 40 Depressed偏低

vs 50-day相对50日均线 -5.3% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 -5.6% vs 200-day avg

Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 20 Trending趋势中

Volatility rank波动率分位 75th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$180.55

Don't chase above不追高于

$185.10

Stop止损

$181.00

Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近

Earnings财务业绩

days until next report天后公布财报

2026-08-05

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$1.7B

2023

$2.8B

2024

$4.7B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 68.1%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$-0.43

2023

$0.02

2024

$2.26

2025

Margins利润率

Operating margin营业利润率

17.6%

Net margin净利率

11.5%

FCF margin自由现金流利润率

27.2%

14.6%Return on Equity股本回报率

3.5%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA	2.22
Current ratio流动比率	1.26

Capital Allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）	$866.8M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$117.6M

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度

0.53×

0.21×3×

Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍

Financial Health财务健康

5/7

Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般

Dividend分红

1.68%

Pays a dividend (1.68% yield)有分红（收益率 1.68%）

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Communication Services (Equal-Weight) theme — #37 of 46 themes「通信服务（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 37 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -15.8%空头仓位变动 -15.8%

Technical技术面 NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动

±2.76%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±6.18%

Call wall看涨密集区

$190

Put wall看跌密集区

$170

Gamma flip伽玛翻转

$180

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

-2.8%

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$40.4M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$40.4M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）

Concentrated ownership集中持仓

Fund基金	Grade评级	Activity动作	% of portfolio组合占比	As of截至
Soros Fund Management	B	Holding持有	1.7%	2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点

GET READY. Day 60 of a typical 23-44-day cycle — inside the window where lows usually form. No confirmed turn yet. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell准备。典型 23-44 天周期的第 60 天——处于低点通常形成的窗口内。尚无确认的转向。上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号

BOTTOM WATCH NEARING A LOW

Jul 13, 2026

NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势

AVOID回避

Jul 10, 2026

TKO weekly MACD crossed downTKO 周线MACD下穿

The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。

Jul 9, 2026

TKO broke down vs the marketTKO 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $188.18.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$188.18。

Jul 6, 2026

TKO broke down vs the marketTKO 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $192.30.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$192.30。

Jul 2, 2026

BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点

GET READY准备

Jul 2, 2026

TKO lost its 200-day averageTKO 跌破200日均线

Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $194.42.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$194.42。

Jul 1, 2026

TKO daily MACD crossed downTKO 日线MACD下穿

The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $202.43.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$202.43。

Jun 29, 2026

BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中

BUY SETUP买入预备