Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and oscillators are already extended/ove筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且摆动指标已过热——此处入场风险较高。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$17.75
8.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.3%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
64.7x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.25
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
56
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
79th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SHC | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -3.6% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 2.1 points落后指数 2.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +14.8% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 14.2 points跑赢指数 14.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +8.9% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -7.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 15.3 points落后指数 15.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +0.3% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 8.8 points落后指数 8.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +58.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 38.7 points跑赢指数 38.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -6.3% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 75.7 points落后指数 75.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
56
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+8.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
79th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$17.49
Don't chase above不追高于
$17.75
Stop止损
$15.46
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SHC | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 64.69x | 28.92 | 15% |
| P/B市净率 | 8.32x | 3.52 | 14% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.33x | 3.02 | 34% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.55% | 2.72 | 37% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.96% | 3.94 | 35% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 33.80x | 22.42 | 25% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -9.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
12.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.46 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $30.9M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.4)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 24% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 24% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.25×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
Golden cross on SHCSHC 金叉
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1797.6M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$1797.6M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sachem Head Capital | D | Holding持有 | 4.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
Golden cross on SHCSHC 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $17.75.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$17.75。
Jul 17, 2026
SHC daily MACD crossed downSHC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $17.75.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$17.75。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 15, 2026
SHC took relative-strength leadershipSHC 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $18.15.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$18.15。
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
SHC RSI reached overboughtSHC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $18.42.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$18.42。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
SHC RSI reached overboughtSHC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $17.75.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$17.75。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.50
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
-0.7
Quality质量
-1.1
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.7
Company Profile公司档案
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。