Progress Software Corporation · Tech
PRGS
$40.55
Progress Software Corporation is an American public company that produces software for creating and deploying business applications. Founded in Burlington, Massachusetts, with offices in 16 countries, the company posted revenues of $753 million (USD) in 2024.ProgressSoftwareCorporation是一家美国上市公司，生产用于创建和部署商业应用的软件。公司成立于马萨诸塞州伯灵顿，在16个国家设有办事处，2024年营收为7.53亿美元。
Distressed困境股
Small cap小盘
$2B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 27.66 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mi日线转向已经完成——低点于约 18 天前形成 @ 27.66，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$40.55
20.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 20.2%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
23.5x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.66
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
69
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-06-30 (-19d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
91th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PRGS | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +7.1% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 8.6 points跑赢指数 8.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +34.8% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 34.2 points跑赢指数 34.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +31.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 26.4 points跑赢指数 26.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +1.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 6.7 points落后指数 6.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -1.3% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 10.4 points落后指数 10.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -16.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 36.2 points落后指数 36.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -30.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 100.1 points落后指数 100.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
69
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+25.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+8.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
91th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$39.64
Don't chase above不追高于
$41.28
Stop止损
$27.66
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PRGS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 23.47x | 40.17 | 72% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.59x | 5.85 | 67% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.76x | 4.85 | 80% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.26% | 2.19 | 77% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 13.37% | 3.05 | 98% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 6.13% | 2.16 | 82% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 18.95x | 29.30 | 66% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 7.48x | 30.46 | 97% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 17.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -1.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
15.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 8.19 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.49 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $105.2M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $64.8M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.0)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 77% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 77% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.66×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +15.7%空头仓位变动 +15.7%
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.5M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$1.5M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 15, 2026
PRGS took relative-strength leadershipPRGS 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $38.93.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$38.93。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
PRGS reclaimed its 200-day averagePRGS 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $39.16.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$39.16。
Jul 1, 2026
PRGS RSI reached overboughtPRGS RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $39.16.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$39.16。
Jun 29, 2026
PRGS daily MACD crossed upPRGS 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $33.84.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$33.84。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.03
Value价值
-0.2
Profitability盈利能力
+0.0
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.7
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.4
Company Profile公司档案
Progress Software Corporation is an American public company that produces software for creating and deploying business applications. Founded in Burlington, Massachusetts, with offices in 16 countries, the company posted revenues of $753 million (USD) in 2024.ProgressSoftwareCorporation是一家美国上市公司，生产用于创建和部署商业应用的软件。公司成立于马萨诸塞州伯灵顿，在16个国家设有办事处，2024年营收为7.53亿美元。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Inventory build
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。