PCTY Paylocity · $126.00 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Paylocity · Industrials

PCTY

$126.00
Paylocity Holding Corporation is an American provider of cloud-based payroll, spend management, and human capital management (HCM) software.PaylocityHoldingCorporation是一家美国云薪资、支出管理和人力资本管理软件提供商。
Secular growth长期成长 Mid cap中盘 $7B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$126.00
33.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 33.8%
Market Cap市值
$7B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
29.9x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.06
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
67
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
66th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.1% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 PCTY S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +6.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 7.8 points跑赢指数 7.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +25.4% +0.6% Beat the index by 24.8 points跑赢指数 24.8 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +25.0% +4.7% Beat the index by 20.3 points跑赢指数 20.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -10.1% +7.8% Lagged the index by 17.9 points落后指数 17.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -13.5% +9.1% Lagged the index by 22.6 points落后指数 22.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -33.0% +19.4% Lagged the index by 52.4 points落后指数 52.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -43.7% +69.4% Lagged the index by 113.1 points落后指数 113.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 67 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +13.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +-0.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 66th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$117.00
Don't chase above不追高于
$126.00
Stop止损
$99.51
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 PCTY Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 29.89x 29.89
50%
P/B市净率 6.18x 3.90
30%
P/S市销率 4.26x 2.21
21%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.35% 3.10
55%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 5.97% 3.81
75%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.20% 2.29
48%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 16.23x 16.39
50%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 16.75x 25.50
72%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$561.3M
2020
$635.6M
2021
$852.7M
2022
$1.2B
2023
$1.4B
2024
$1.6B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 23.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.15
2020
$1.26
2021
$1.61
2022
$2.49
2023
$3.63
2024
$4.02
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 28.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$96.1M
2020
$115.4M
2021
$137.0M
2022
$260.8M
2023
$366.6M
2024
$405.2M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
68.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
19.1%
Net margin净利率
14.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
26.2%
20.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.58
Current ratio流动比率1.14
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$149.6M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$142.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-3.6%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.3) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 45% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 45% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.06×
0.2
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 PCTY lost its 200-day averagePCTY 跌破200日均线

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.2M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$2.2M 净值(0 买家,5 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 99.51) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 18 天前形成 @ 99.51)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
PCTY lost its 200-day averagePCTY 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $126.00.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$126.00。
Jul 16, 2026
PCTY reclaimed its 200-day averagePCTY 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $126.86.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$126.86。
Jul 16, 2026
PCTY took relative-strength leadershipPCTY 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $126.86.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$126.86。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 14, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 1, 2026
PCTY daily MACD crossed upPCTY 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $111.33.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$111.33。
Jun 26, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.60
Value价值
-0.7
Profitability盈利能力
-0.9
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
-1.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4

Company Profile公司档案

Paylocity Holding Corporation is an American provider of cloud-based payroll, spend management, and human capital management (HCM) software.PaylocityHoldingCorporation是一家美国云薪资、支出管理和人力资本管理软件提供商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。