Occidental Petroleum · Energy
OXY
$54.86
Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an American company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration in the United States and the Middle East as well as petrochemical manufacturing in the United States, Canada, and Chile. It is incorporated under the Delaware General Corporation Law...西方石油公司是一家美国企业，在美国和中东从事油气勘探，并在美国、加拿大和智利开展石化制造。其依据特拉华州普通公司法注册，总部位于休斯顿。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$54B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 47.94.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 47.94 下方。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$54.86
16.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 16.8%
Market Cap市值
$54B
Normal volume正常成交量
Forward P/E预测市盈率
14.2x
Beta贝塔
-0.51
Moves about -0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.5 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.90%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
56
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
62th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.7% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | OXY | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 5.2 points跑赢指数 5.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +2.5% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 2.2 points落后指数 2.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +29.7% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 21.9 points跑赢指数 21.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +30.7% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 21.6 points跑赢指数 21.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +28.6% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 9.2 points跑赢指数 9.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -3.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 73.1 points落后指数 73.1 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +126.4% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 42.5 points跑赢指数 42.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Golden Cross (7/35)MA Buy (7)MA Buy (35)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
56
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+11.3% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
22
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
62th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$52.39
Don't chase above不追高于
$54.86
Stop止损
$47.94
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | OXY | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 14.2x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 1.50x | 1.68 | 59% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.51x | 1.93 | 30% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.59% | 5.01 | 66% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.00% | 3.25 | 3% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 13.18x | 19.68 | 59% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.94 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $0 |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $234.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +5.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.3)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 52% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 52% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.51×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
1.90%
Pays a dividend (1.90% yield)有分红（收益率 1.90%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
US Energy Complex theme — #2 of 46 themes「美国能源综合」主题 — 46 个主题中第 2 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
OXY broke down vs the marketOXY 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.49%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.56%
Call wall看涨密集区
$60
Put wall看跌密集区
$52
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$44
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
4.1%
Flow资金流向
$3M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 15 fresh positions; P/C 0.23; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $3M；0DTE占0%；15个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.23；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.2M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.2M 净值（1 买家，0 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Holding持有 | 6.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| Himalaya Capital (Li Lu) | D | Holding持有 | 3.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Fairholme Capital (Berkowitz) | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 9, 2026
OXY broke down vs the marketOXY 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $52.30.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$52.30。
Jul 8, 2026
OXY daily MACD crossed upOXY 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $53.59.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$53.59。
Jul 7, 2026
OXY reclaimed its 200-day averageOXY 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $51.68.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$51.68。
Jul 6, 2026
OXY StochRSI turned up from oversoldOXY StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $48.81.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$48.81。
Jul 1, 2026
OXY printed a daily-cycle lowOXY 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $47.94.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$47.94。
Jun 30, 2026
OXY lost its 200-day averageOXY 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $48.57.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$48.57。
Jun 29, 2026
OXY RSI reached oversoldOXY RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $49.09.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$49.09。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.12
Value价值
+0.4
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.8
Company Profile公司档案
Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an American company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration in the United States and the Middle East as well as petrochemical manufacturing in the United States, Canada, and Chile. It is incorporated under the Delaware General Corporation Law...西方石油公司是一家美国企业，在美国和中东从事油气勘探，并在美国、加拿大和智利开展石化制造。其依据特拉华州普通公司法注册，总部位于休斯顿。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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