NBTB NBT Bancorp, Inc. · $52.45 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
NBT Bancorp, Inc. · Financials

NBTB

$52.45
NBT Bank, N.A. is an American financial institution that operates through a network of 176 banking locations in New York, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Maine and Connecticut.NBTBank,N.A.是一家美国金融机构,通过纽约州、宾夕法尼亚州、佛蒙特州、马萨诸塞州、新罕布什尔州、缅因州和康涅狄格州的176个银行网点运营。
Financial金融股 Mid cap中盘 $3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 70, 3-day 74 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(已超买(日线 RSI 70、3 日 74 与周线 71))。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$52.45
1.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.4%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
16.2x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.60
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
70
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-27 (8d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
17th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 NBTB S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +4.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.8 points跑赢指数 5.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +13.2% +0.6% Beat the index by 12.6 points跑赢指数 12.6 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +15.8% +4.7% Beat the index by 11.1 points跑赢指数 11.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +22.4% +7.8% Beat the index by 14.6 points跑赢指数 14.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +28.2% +9.1% Beat the index by 19.1 points跑赢指数 19.1 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +24.0% +19.4% Beat the index by 4.6 points跑赢指数 4.6 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +66.8% +69.4% Lagged the index by 2.6 points落后指数 2.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 70 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +10.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +20.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 17th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$50.26
Don't chase above不追高于
$52.45
Stop止损
$46.35
Topping — protect gains见顶 — 保护利润

Earnings财务业绩

8
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-27

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 NBTB Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 16.18x 14.99
41%
P/B市净率 1.44x 1.52
54%
P/S市销率 14.97x 2.87
12%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 6.18% 6.58
43%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.02% 3.91
35%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$140.9M
2020
$151.0M
2021
$150.7M
2022
$144.7M
2023
$165.7M
2024
$183.0M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.37
2020
$3.54
2021
$3.52
2022
$2.65
2023
$2.97
2024
$3.33
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$134.3M
2020
$149.9M
2021
$176.2M
2022
$148.2M
2023
$176.8M
2024
$218.9M
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
92.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
128.6%
8.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$10.2M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$5.3M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+10.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/5 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 36% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 36% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.60×
0.2
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/5
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 NBTB RSI reached overboughtNBTB RSI进入超买

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$1.2M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)+$1.2M 净值(1 买家,2 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 46.35) and overbought (daily RSI 70, 3-day 74 & weekly 71). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 20 天前形成 @ 46.35)且已超买(日线 RSI 70、3 日 74 与周线 71)。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
NBTB RSI reached overboughtNBTB RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $51.30.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$51.30。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
NBTB made a new 52-week highNBTB 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $50.28.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$50.28。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
NBTB took relative-strength leadershipNBTB 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $49.95.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$49.95。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 215 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.05
Value价值
+0.3
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
-0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5

Company Profile公司档案

NBT Bank, N.A. is an American financial institution that operates through a network of 176 banking locations in New York, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Maine and Connecticut.NBTBank,N.A.是一家美国金融机构,通过纽约州、宾夕法尼亚州、佛蒙特州、马萨诸塞州、新罕布什尔州、缅因州和康涅狄格州的176个银行网点运营。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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