NATL NCR Atleos · $47.43 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
NCR Atleos · Financials

NATL

$47.43
NCR Atleos is an American ATM business service provider. This company specializes in ATM technology and related services, including ATM manufacturing, deployment, and maintenance.NCRAtleos是一家美国ATM业务服务提供商,专注于ATM技术及相关服务,包括ATM制造、部署和维护。
Distressed困境股 Mid cap中盘 $4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸/晚期——保护利润,不要新开仓;先等下一个低点构筑成形。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$47.43
1.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.5%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
21.6x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.88
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
79
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
5th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 NATL S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +5.6% -1.5% Beat the index by 7.1 points跑赢指数 7.1 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +9.8% +0.6% Beat the index by 9.2 points跑赢指数 9.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +3.8% +4.7% In line with the index与指数基本持平
6 Months近6月 +18.8% +7.8% Beat the index by 11.0 points跑赢指数 11.0 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +27.4% +9.1% Beat the index by 18.3 points跑赢指数 18.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +70.1% +19.4% Beat the index by 50.7 points跑赢指数 50.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 79 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +6.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +14.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 5th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$45.11
Don't chase above不追高于
$47.43
Stop止损
$42.88
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 NATL Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 21.58x 14.99
21%
P/B市净率 8.67x 1.52
1%
P/S市销率 0.80x 2.87
92%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.63% 6.58
24%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.80% 3.91
10%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$4.2B
2023
$4.3B
2024
$4.4B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 1.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-1.90
2023
$1.08
2024
$2.14
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$247.0M
2023
$257.0M
2024
$239.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
11.0%
Net margin净利率
3.7%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
8.2%
40.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.05
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$28.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$34.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+1.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.5) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 38% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 38% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.88×
0.2
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +24.2%空头仓位变动 +24.2%
Technical技术面 NATL RSI reached overboughtNATL RSI进入超买

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.3M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.3M 净值(0 买家,1 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Soros Fund Management B New position新建仓 0.4% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Mid-cycle (day 13) and short-term overbought (RSI 79, StochRSI 100). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。周期中段(第 13 天)且短期超买 (RSI 79, StochRSI 100)。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
NATL RSI reached overboughtNATL RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $46.20.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$46.20。
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
NATL daily MACD crossed upNATL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $44.09.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$44.09。
Jun 30, 2026
NATL StochRSI turned up from oversoldNATL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $43.41.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$43.41。
Jun 29, 2026
NATL printed a daily-cycle lowNATL 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $42.88.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$42.88。
Jun 29, 2026
NATL broke down vs the marketNATL 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $42.88.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$42.88。
Jun 22, 2026
NATL StochRSI turned up from oversoldNATL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $43.57.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$43.57。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.22
Value价值
-0.2
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5

Company Profile公司档案

NCR Atleos is an American ATM business service provider. This company specializes in ATM technology and related services, including ATM manufacturing, deployment, and maintenance.NCRAtleos是一家美国ATM业务服务提供商,专注于ATM技术及相关服务,包括ATM制造、部署和维护。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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