MUR Murphy Oil · $36.83 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Murphy Oil · Energy

MUR

$36.83
Murphy Oil Corporation is an American energy company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration headquartered in Houston, Texas.墨菲石油公司是一家从事碳氢化合物勘探的美国能源公司，总部位于德克萨斯州休斯顿。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 31.51.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 31.51 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$36.83
13.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 13.1%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
50.5x
20.8x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.26
Moves about -0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
39th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MUR S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +9.1% -1.5% Beat the index by 10.6 points跑赢指数 10.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +4.4% +0.6% Beat the index by 3.8 points跑赢指数 3.8 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +0.8% +4.7% Lagged the index by 3.9 points落后指数 3.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +10.7% +7.8% Beat the index by 2.9 points跑赢指数 2.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +15.5% +9.1% Beat the index by 6.4 points跑赢指数 6.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +55.6% +19.4% Beat the index by 36.2 points跑赢指数 36.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +2.4% +69.4% Lagged the index by 67.0 points落后指数 67.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 58 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +0.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +9.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 39th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$34.25
Don't chase above不追高于
$36.83
Stop止损
$31.51
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 MUR Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 50.45x 20.82
11%
P/B市净率 1.03x 1.68
90%
P/S市销率 1.93x 1.93
49%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 1.98% 4.36
22%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 5.49% 3.25
87%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 4.81x 8.28
91%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.0B
2020
$2.3B
2021
$3.9B
2022
$3.5B
2023
$3.0B
2024
$2.7B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-7.48
2020
$-0.48
2021
$6.13
2022
$4.22
2023
$2.70
2024
$0.72
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
11.1%
Net margin净利率
3.8%
2.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.70
Current ratio流动比率0.77
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$102.6M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$50.1M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-2.1%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.0) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 60% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 60% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.26×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 MUR broke down vs the marketMUR 相对市场走弱

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.9M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.9M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 15, 2026
MUR broke down vs the marketMUR 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $34.64.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$34.64。
Jul 10, 2026
MUR daily MACD crossed upMUR 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $33.75.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$33.75。
Jul 8, 2026
MUR reclaimed its 200-day averageMUR 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $34.59.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$34.59。
Jul 7, 2026
MUR StochRSI turned up from oversoldMUR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $32.88.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$32.88。
Jul 1, 2026
MUR printed a daily-cycle lowMUR 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $31.51.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$31.51。
Jun 30, 2026
MUR lost its 200-day averageMUR 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $32.56.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$32.56。
Jun 26, 2026
MUR broke down vs the marketMUR 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $34.62.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$34.62。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 246 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.17
Value价值
+0.8
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.4
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.5
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.0

Company Profile公司档案

Murphy Oil Corporation is an American energy company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration headquartered in Houston, Texas.墨菲石油公司是一家从事碳氢化合物勘探的美国能源公司，总部位于德克萨斯州休斯顿。
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