MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. · $396.87 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. · Comm. Services

MSGS

$396.87
Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. is an American sports holding company based in New York City.麦迪逊广场花园体育公司是一家总部位于纽约市的美国体育控股公司。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 361.78.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 361.78 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$396.87
1.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.5%
Beta贝塔
0.53
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-11 (23d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
77th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MSGS S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +9.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 9.1 points跑赢指数 9.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +18.1% +4.7% Beat the index by 13.4 points跑赢指数 13.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +37.0% +7.8% Beat the index by 29.2 points跑赢指数 29.2 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +53.3% +9.1% Beat the index by 44.2 points跑赢指数 44.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +88.6% +19.4% Beat the index by 69.2 points跑赢指数 69.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +104.5% +69.4% Beat the index by 35.1 points跑赢指数 35.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 60 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +6.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +33.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 77th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$387.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$396.90
Stop止损
$361.80
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

23
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-11

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$603.3M
2020
$415.7M
2021
$821.4M
2022
$887.4M
2023
$1.0B
2024
$1.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-7.62
2020
$-0.58
2021
$2.10
2022
$1.89
2023
$2.44
2024
$-0.93
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$358.9M
2020
-$35.8M
2021
$177.1M
2022
$151.3M
2023
$90.7M
2024
$88.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
1.4%
Net margin净利率
-2.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
8.8%
8.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
-1.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA6.79
Current ratio流动比率0.45
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
0.53×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 MSGS took relative-strength leadershipMSGS 取得相对强弱领先

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.8M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$1.8M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Gates Foundation Trust D Holding持有 0.6% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum positive; but rolling toward a weekly cross-down; 3-day crossed down; investor cycle overdue). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为正；但正趋向周线向下交叉；3 日线向下交叉；投资者周期已逾期）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
MSGS took relative-strength leadershipMSGS 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $396.87.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$396.87。
Jul 15, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
TOPPING → UNCONFIRMED TURN做顶中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 9, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
MSGS took relative-strength leadershipMSGS 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $390.73.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$390.73。
Jul 7, 2026
MSGS daily MACD crossed downMSGS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $390.73.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$390.73。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
MSGS made a new 52-week highMSGS 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $403.03.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$403.03。
Jun 29, 2026
MSGS daily MACD crossed upMSGS 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $403.03.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$403.03。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.51
Quality质量
+1.0
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1

Company Profile公司档案

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. is an American sports holding company based in New York City.麦迪逊广场花园体育公司是一家总部位于纽约市的美国体育控股公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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