META Meta Platforms · $646.01 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端
Meta Platforms · Comm. Services

META

$646.01
Meta Platforms, Inc. is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Menlo Park, California.MetaPlatforms公司是一家美国跨国科技公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州门洛帕克。
Secular growth长期成长
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~15 day(s) ago @ 542.87 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's m日线转向已经完成——低点于约 15 天前形成 @ 542.87,且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认,因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场,而非待触发信号:可在此建半仓,或等待周线转向。
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Price Chart价格图表

META PLATFORMS 550.00 600.00 650.00 700.00 646.01 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 52.8MVOL MACD 19.397 MASTERMIND METADAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$646.01
18.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.0%
Forward P/E预测市盈率
17.8x
Beta贝塔
1.50
Moves about 1.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.33%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
57
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
95th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 META S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -3.5% -1.5% Lagged the index by 2.0 points落后指数 2.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +13.8% +0.6% Beat the index by 13.2 points跑赢指数 13.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -6.2% +4.7% Lagged the index by 10.9 points落后指数 10.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +4.2% +7.8% Lagged the index by 3.6 points落后指数 3.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -0.6% +9.1% Lagged the index by 9.7 points落后指数 9.7 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -7.7% +19.4% Lagged the index by 27.1 points落后指数 27.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +108.6% +69.4% Beat the index by 39.2 points跑赢指数 39.2 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +90.8% +83.9% Beat the index by 6.9 points跑赢指数 6.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Above CloudTrend Ribbon — Uptrend State
RSI (14)RSI(14) 57 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +6.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +0.9% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 18 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位 95th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$630.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$658.50
Stop止损
$542.90
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$86.0B
2020
$117.9B
2021
$116.6B
2022
$134.9B
2023
$164.5B
2024
$201.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 18.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$10.09
2020
$13.77
2021
$8.59
2022
$14.87
2023
$23.86
2024
$23.49
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 18.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$23.6B
2020
$39.1B
2021
$19.0B
2022
$43.8B
2023
$54.1B
2024
$46.1B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
41.4%
Net margin净利率
30.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
57.6%
27.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
16.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.22
Current ratio流动比率2.60
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$26.2B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$20.4B
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
1.50×
0.2
Moves about 1.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
0.33%
Pays a dividend (0.33% yield)有分红(收益率 0.33%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

News新闻 4 recent stories — mixed4 篇最新报道,多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题 AI Software & Platforms theme — #11 of 46 themes「AI 软件与平台」主题 — 46 个主题中第 11 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +15.0%空头仓位变动 +15.0%
Technical技术面 BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.41%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.62%
Call wall看涨密集区
$700
Put wall看跌密集区
$570
IV rankIV历史分位
75%
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
2.5%
Flow资金流向

$1.2B premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 383 fresh positions; P/C 0.35; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1.2B;0DTE占0%;383个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.35;≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:greed

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$131.0M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$131.0M 净值(0 买家,7 卖家)
Dispersed ownership分散持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Dragoneer Investment Group C New position新建仓 13.6% 2026-03-31
Third Point (Loeb) B New position新建仓 2.5% 2026-03-31
Polen Capital Management B New position新建仓 1.9% 2026-03-31
Viking Global (Halvorsen) B New position新建仓 1.7% 2026-03-31
Soros Fund Management B New position新建仓 0.3% 2026-03-31
Tiger Global (Coleman) B Adding加仓 7.7% 2026-03-31
Altimeter Capital A Holding持有 19.6% 2026-03-31
Pershing Square (Ackman) C Holding持有 11.1% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 15 day(s) ago (2026-06-25 @ 542.87): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 15 天前形成 (2026-06-25 @ 542.87):摆动低点已现,价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向,因此信心仅为部分。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 10, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
META reclaimed its 200-day averageMETA 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $669.21.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$669.21。
Jul 10, 2026
META weekly MACD crossed upMETA 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
META daily MACD crossed upMETA 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $612.91.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$612.91。
Jun 29, 2026
META StochRSI turned up from oversoldMETA StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $562.60.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$562.60。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 1234 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.09
Quality质量
+1.7
Investment资本投入
-1.4
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
+2.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2

Company Profile公司档案

Meta Platforms, Inc. is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Menlo Park, California.MetaPlatforms公司是一家美国跨国科技公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州门洛帕克。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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