Lamb Weston · Staples
LW
$46.79
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. is an American food processing company that is one of the world's largest producers and processors of frozen french fries, waffle fries, and other frozen potato products.LambWestonHoldings,Inc.是一家美国食品加工公司，是全球最大的冷冻薯条、格子薯条及其他冷冻马铃薯产品的生产商和加工商之一。
Mixed profile混合特征
Mid cap中盘
$6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed @ 43.18 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the we日线转向已经完成——低点于近期形成 @ 43.18，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$46.79
28.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 28.1%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.36
Moves about 0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
61th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | LW | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.2 points跑赢指数 2.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.2% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 5.6 points跑赢指数 5.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +5.3% | +4.7% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +9.9% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 2.1 points跑赢指数 2.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +12.6% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 3.5 points跑赢指数 3.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -4.5% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 23.9 points落后指数 23.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -55.3% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 124.7 points落后指数 124.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+6.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-3.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
61th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$46.16
Don't chase above不追高于
$47.29
Stop止损
$43.18
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | LW | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 3.70x | 3.38 | 47% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.54% | 4.71 | 27% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 9.51x | 12.39 | 67% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 28.24x | 21.12 | 23% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 3.45 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.38 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $39.5M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 47% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 47% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.36×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
LW took relative-strength leadershipLW 取得相对强弱领先
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$2.3M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)+$2.3M 净值（1 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starboard Value | B | New position新建仓 | 5.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| JANA Partners Management | C | Holding持有 | 13.2% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
LW took relative-strength leadershipLW 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $46.79.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$46.79。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
LW daily MACD crossed upLW 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $46.09.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$46.09。
Jul 2, 2026
LW StochRSI turned up from oversoldLW StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $45.91.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$45.91。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.27
Value价值
-1.0
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Low volatility低波动
-0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.0
Company Profile公司档案
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. is an American food processing company that is one of the world's largest producers and processors of frozen french fries, waffle fries, and other frozen potato products.LambWestonHoldings,Inc.是一家美国食品加工公司，是全球最大的冷冻薯条、格子薯条及其他冷冻马铃薯产品的生产商和加工商之一。
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