JOE St. Joe Company · $60.55 Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利 Terminal终端 ↗

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St. Joe Company · Real Estate

JOE

$60.55
The St. Joe Company is a land development company headquartered in Panama City Beach, Florida.TheSt.JoeCompany是一家总部位于佛罗里达州巴拿马城海滩的土地开发公司。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$60.55
16.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 16.4%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
30.1x
31.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.50
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
40
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
60th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.4% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 JOE S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -0.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 1.2 points跑赢指数 1.2 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -4.6% +0.6% Lagged the index by 5.2 points落后指数 5.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -11.2% +4.7% Lagged the index by 15.9 points落后指数 15.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -7.0% +7.8% Lagged the index by 14.8 points落后指数 14.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +1.7% +9.1% Lagged the index by 7.4 points落后指数 7.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +22.6% +19.4% Beat the index by 3.2 points跑赢指数 3.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +15.2% +69.4% Lagged the index by 54.2 points落后指数 54.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 40 Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -4.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -2.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 60th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$59.56
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 JOE Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 30.14x 30.98
54%
P/B市净率 4.55x 2.01
8%
P/S市销率 6.79x 6.79
51%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.32% 3.11
61%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 5.36% 4.84
62%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.12% 3.84
22%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 19.34x 14.15
22%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 18.67x 18.95
50%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$127.1M
2019
$160.6M
2020
$252.3M
2021
$389.3M
2023
$402.7M
2024
$513.2M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 32.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.45
2019
$0.77
2020
$1.21
2021
$1.33
2023
$1.27
2024
$1.99
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 34.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$21.0M
2019
$31.6M
2020
$40.9M
2021
$97.7M
2023
$100.2M
2024
$186.6M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
43.1%
Operating margin营业利润率
28.5%
Net margin净利率
22.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
37.2%
15.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.35
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$40.3M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$1.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-1.3%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.0) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 39% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 39% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.50×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +13.8%空头仓位变动 +13.8%
Technical技术面 DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$16.7M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$16.7M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Fairholme Capital (Berkowitz) A Holding持有 79.7% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
DECLINE DOWNTREND
Jul 15, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 10, 2026
JOE StochRSI turned up from oversoldJOE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $60.75.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$60.75。
Jul 1, 2026
TOPPING → DOWNTREND做顶中 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 1, 2026
JOE lost its 200-day averageJOE 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $61.42.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$61.42。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 30, 2026
JOE daily MACD crossed downJOE 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $62.63.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$62.63。
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 29, 2026
JOE broke down vs the marketJOE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $62.97.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$62.97。
Jun 18, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 16, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 217 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.15
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
-1.0
Quality质量
+0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1

Company Profile公司档案

The St. Joe Company is a land development company headquartered in Panama City Beach, Florida.TheSt.JoeCompany是一家总部位于佛罗里达州巴拿马城海滩的土地开发公司。
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