Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 21.58.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 21.58 则明确离场。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$25.31
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
29.8x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.99
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
69
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
13th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | HCSG | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +6.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 7.9 points跑赢指数 7.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +13.1% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 12.5 points跑赢指数 12.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +32.0% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 27.3 points跑赢指数 27.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +32.6% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 24.8 points跑赢指数 24.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +45.9% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 36.8 points跑赢指数 36.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +94.8% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 75.4 points跑赢指数 75.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +73.1% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 3.7 points跑赢指数 3.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
69
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+13.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+27.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
13th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$25.07
Don't chase above不追高于
$25.50
Stop止损
$21.58
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being raised — 6 analysts预期上调 — 6 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | HCSG | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 29.83x | 29.89 | 50% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.45x | 3.90 | 56% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.96x | 2.21 | 77% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.35% | 3.10 | 55% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.90% | 3.81 | 87% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.50% | 2.29 | 64% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 12.66x | 25.50 | 86% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -9.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
11.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 3.38 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $61.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $12.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -4.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.2)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 68% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 68% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.99×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +22.9%空头仓位变动 +22.9%
Technical技术面
HCSG made a new 52-week highHCSG 创52周新高
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.0M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$3.0M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 17, 2026
HCSG made a new 52-week highHCSG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $25.31.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$25.31。
Jul 16, 2026
HCSG StochRSI turned up from oversoldHCSG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $24.99.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$24.99。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 15, 2026
HCSG took relative-strength leadershipHCSG 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $24.36.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$24.36。
Jul 9, 2026
HCSG daily MACD crossed downHCSG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $24.13.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$24.13。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.16
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
+0.9
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。