HAYW Hayward Holdings, Inc. · $14.36 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Hayward Holdings, Inc. · Industrials

HAYW

$14.36
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–4 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–4 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$14.36
17.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 17.0%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
20.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.12
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
38
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
98th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 HAYW S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -9.8% -1.5% Lagged the index by 8.3 points落后指数 8.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -1.5% +0.6% Lagged the index by 2.1 points落后指数 2.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -6.0% +4.7% Lagged the index by 10.7 points落后指数 10.7 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -14.8% +7.8% Lagged the index by 22.6 points落后指数 22.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -8.9% +9.1% Lagged the index by 18.0 points落后指数 18.0 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -2.4% +19.4% Lagged the index by 21.8 points落后指数 21.8 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +17.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 52.1 points落后指数 52.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 38 Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -3.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -6.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 98th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$13.87
Don't chase above不追高于
$14.36
Stop止损
$14.36
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 HAYW Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 20.59x 29.89
74%
P/B市净率 1.96x 3.90
84%
P/S市销率 2.78x 2.21
42%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.86% 3.10
77%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 7.28% 3.81
83%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.16% 2.29
4%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 14.65x 16.39
59%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 13.73x 25.50
81%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.4B
2021
$1.3B
2022
$992.5M
2023
$1.1B
2024
$1.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -5.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.49
2021
$0.78
2022
$0.37
2023
$0.54
2024
$0.68
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$163.2M
2021
$86.3M
2022
$153.5M
2023
$187.8M
2024
$227.3M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
48.0%
Operating margin营业利润率
20.8%
Net margin净利率
13.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
22.8%
9.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.46
Current ratio流动比率2.94
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$5.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$13.4M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.7%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.4) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 68% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 68% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.12×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 HAYW lost its 200-day averageHAYW 跌破200日均线

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.1M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$6.1M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY. Day 40 of a typical 23-44-day cycle — inside the window where lows usually form, and short-term momentum is washed out. No confirmed turn yet准备。典型 23-44 天周期的第 40 天——处于低点通常形成的窗口内，且短期动量已被洗净。尚无确认的转向
BOTTOM WATCH NEARING A LOW
Jul 15, 2026
HAYW lost its 200-day averageHAYW 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $14.75.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$14.75。
Jul 9, 2026
HAYW daily MACD crossed downHAYW 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $16.07.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$16.07。
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
HAYW made a new 52-week highHAYW 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $17.31.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$17.31。
Jun 29, 2026
HAYW took relative-strength leadershipHAYW 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $16.99.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$16.99。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 245 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.24
Value价值
+0.0
Profitability盈利能力
-0.8
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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