Graphic Packaging · Materials
GPK
$10.82
Graphic Packaging International is a Fortune 500 corporation based in Atlanta, Georgia, United States. It designs and manufactures packaging solutions for commercial products.GraphicPackagingInternational是一家《财富》世界500强公司，总部位于美国佐治亚州亚特兰大，为商业产品设计和制造包装解决方案。
Distressed困境股
Mid cap中盘
$3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 10.12 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mi日线转向已经完成——低点于约 18 天前形成 @ 10.12，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$10.82
52.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 52.9%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
7.2x
28.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.86
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
63th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
9.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GPK | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +5.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.8 points跑赢指数 6.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.6% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +10.0% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 5.3 points跑赢指数 5.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -28.4% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 36.2 points落后指数 36.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -27.8% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 36.9 points落后指数 36.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -51.0% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 70.4 points落后指数 70.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -52.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 122.2 points落后指数 122.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+3.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-15.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
63th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$10.66
Don't chase above不追高于
$10.94
Stop止损
$10.12
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GPK | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 7.19x | 28.57 | 96% |
| P/B市净率 | 0.96x | 2.82 | 95% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.37x | 1.64 | 94% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 13.90% | 2.96 | 99% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.70% | 2.70 | 81% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 6.33x | 12.20 | 88% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 19.8%
Margins利润率
13.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 3.94 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.30 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $2.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.4)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 93% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 93% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.86×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
GPK daily MACD crossed upGPK 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.7M net (2 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.7M 净值（2 买家，0 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
GPK daily MACD crossed upGPK 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $11.13.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$11.13。
Jul 14, 2026
GPK StochRSI turned up from oversoldGPK StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $10.33.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$10.33。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
TOPPING → BOTTOMING做顶中 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 29, 2026
GPK daily MACD crossed downGPK 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $10.65.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$10.65。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.37
Value价值
+2.5
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
-0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.6
Company Profile公司档案
Graphic Packaging International is a Fortune 500 corporation based in Atlanta, Georgia, United States. It designs and manufactures packaging solutions for commercial products.GraphicPackagingInternational是一家《财富》世界500强公司，总部位于美国佐治亚州亚特兰大，为商业产品设计和制造包装解决方案。
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