The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. · Industrials
GBX
$50.02
The Greenbrier Companies is an American publicly traded transportation manufacturing corporation based in Lake Oswego, Oregon, United States. Greenbrier specializes in transportation services, notably freight railcar manufacturing, railcar refurbishment and railcar leasing/management services.绿蔷薇公司(TheGreenbrierCompanies)是一家美国上市运输制造企业,总部位于美国俄勒冈州莱克奥斯韦戈。绿蔷薇专注于运输服务,特别是货运铁路车辆制造、铁路车辆翻新及铁路车辆租赁/管理服务。
Cyclical周期股
Small cap小盘
$2B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~8 day(s) ago @ 45.46 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mis日线转向已经完成——低点于约 8 天前形成 @ 45.46,且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认,因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场,而非待触发信号:可在此建半仓,或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$50.02
14.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 14.5%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
7.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.61
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-01 (-18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
80th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GBX | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +6.5% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 8.0 points跑赢指数 8.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.5% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +0.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 4.6 points落后指数 4.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +1.8% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 6.0 points落后指数 6.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +7.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 1.9 points落后指数 1.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +2.0% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 17.4 points落后指数 17.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +22.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 46.7 points落后指数 46.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
58
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+3.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+3.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
80th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$49.19
Don't chase above不追高于
$50.69
Stop止损
$45.46
Partial entry — half size now部分入场 — 当前可建半仓
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GBX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 7.57x | 29.89 | 98% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.00x | 3.90 | 98% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.48x | 2.21 | 93% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 13.21% | 3.10 | 99% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -0.95% | 3.81 | 6% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.47% | 2.29 | 35% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 6.21x | 16.39 | 96% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 34.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
13.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 3.00 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $22.7M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $17.5M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -1.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.7)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 78% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 78% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.61×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
GBX reclaimed its 200-day averageGBX 收复200日均线
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.3M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.3M 净值(0 买家,1 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
GBX reclaimed its 200-day averageGBX 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $51.18.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$51.18。
Jul 16, 2026
GBX daily MACD crossed upGBX 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $51.18.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$51.18。
Jul 14, 2026
Death cross on GBXGBX 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $47.01.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$47.01。
Jul 10, 2026
GBX StochRSI turned up from oversoldGBX StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $46.97.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$46.97。
Jul 8, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 7, 2026
GBX broke down vs the marketGBX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $45.46.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$45.46。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
GBX lost its 200-day averageGBX 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $47.54.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$47.54。
Jul 1, 2026
GBX broke down vs the marketGBX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $47.54.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$47.54。
Jul 1, 2026
GBX daily MACD crossed downGBX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $47.54.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$47.54。
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.15
Value价值
+2.1
Profitability盈利能力
-1.0
Quality质量
-0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.2
Company Profile公司档案
The Greenbrier Companies is an American publicly traded transportation manufacturing corporation based in Lake Oswego, Oregon, United States. Greenbrier specializes in transportation services, notably freight railcar manufacturing, railcar refurbishment and railcar leasing/management services.绿蔷薇公司(TheGreenbrierCompanies)是一家美国上市运输制造企业,总部位于美国俄勒冈州莱克奥斯韦戈。绿蔷薇专注于运输服务,特别是货运铁路车辆制造、铁路车辆翻新及铁路车辆租赁/管理服务。
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