Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$478.39
35.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 35.9%
Market Cap市值
$17B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
2.80
Moves about 2.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
39
Depressed偏低
Volatility Rank波动率分位
54th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | FN | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.5% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 3.0 points跑赢指数 3.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -18.1% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 18.7 points落后指数 18.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -30.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 35.4 points落后指数 35.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -3.2% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 11.0 points落后指数 11.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -0.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 9.3 points落后指数 9.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +55.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 35.7 points跑赢指数 35.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +265.9% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 196.5 points跑赢指数 196.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
39
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-20.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-8.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
54th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$460.20
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 8 analysts预期上调 — 8 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | FN | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 7.84x | 5.85 | 37% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.21% | 3.05 | 23% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 44.54x | 29.30 | 35% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 82.67x | 30.46 | 16% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 25.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.81 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 3.00 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $125.7M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $33.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (15.4)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 32% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 32% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.80×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -20.6%空头仓位变动 -20.6%
Technical技术面
FN daily MACD crossed upFN 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$21.1M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$21.1M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durable Capital Partners | B | New position新建仓 | 1.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Whale Rock Capital | A | Holding持有 | 4.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 17, 2026
FN daily MACD crossed upFN 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $478.39.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$478.39。
Jul 14, 2026
FN StochRSI turned up from oversoldFN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $482.78.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$482.78。
Jul 2, 2026
FN lost its 200-day averageFN 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $499.61.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$499.61。
Jun 30, 2026
FN StochRSI turned up from oversoldFN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $562.08.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$562.08。
Jun 26, 2026
FN broke down vs the marketFN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $524.79.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$524.79。
Jun 22, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A HIGH下跌趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 22, 2026
FN StochRSI turned up from oversoldFN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $617.09.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$617.09。
Jun 16, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 289 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -1.70
Value价值
-1.9
Investment资本投入
-1.2
Low volatility低波动
-2.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-2.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。