FLO Flowers Foods · $8.49 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Flowers Foods · Staples

FLO

$8.49
Flowers Foods, Inc., headquartered in Thomasville, Georgia, is a producer and marketer of packaged bakery foods in the United States. The company operates 44 bakeries across 19 states that produce a variety of products, including bread, buns, snack cakes, rolls,...FlowersFoods,Inc.总部位于佐治亚州托马斯维尔，是美国包装烘焙食品的生产商和销售商。该公司在19个州运营44家面包厂，生产面包、小圆面包、零食蛋糕、卷饼、玉米饼和糕点等多种产品。
Deep value深度价值 Small cap小盘 $2B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$8.49
44.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 44.9%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
21.4x
24.1x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.04
Moves about 0.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
89th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
22.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 FLO S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.8% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.3 points跑赢指数 3.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +15.8% +0.6% Beat the index by 15.2 points跑赢指数 15.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +1.4% +4.7% Lagged the index by 3.3 points落后指数 3.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -19.2% +7.8% Lagged the index by 27.0 points落后指数 27.0 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -17.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 26.9 points落后指数 26.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -40.6% +19.4% Lagged the index by 60.0 points落后指数 60.0 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -58.2% +69.4% Lagged the index by 127.6 points落后指数 127.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 58 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -10.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 89th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$8.27
Don't chase above不追高于
$8.49
Stop止损
$7.33
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 FLO Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 21.39x 24.10
58%
P/B市净率 1.38x 3.38
83%
P/S市销率 0.34x 1.28
85%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.68% 3.76
64%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 17.80% 4.71
95%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 11.98% 2.48
94%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 10.36x 12.39
62%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 5.62x 21.12
93%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$4.4B
2020
$4.3B
2021
$4.8B
2022
$5.1B
2023
$5.1B
2024
$5.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.72
2020
$0.97
2021
$1.07
2022
$0.58
2023
$1.17
2024
$0.40
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -11.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$356.5M
2020
$208.6M
2021
$191.8M
2022
$220.3M
2023
$280.6M
2024
$319.1M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
3.3%
Net margin净利率
1.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
8.5%
6.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA5.11
Current ratio流动比率0.75
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$32.3M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.0) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 77% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 77% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.04×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +10.1%空头仓位变动 +10.1%
Technical技术面 NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.3M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$2.3M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 7.33) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 20 天前形成 @ 7.33）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 279 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.63
Value价值
+1.6
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
-0.9
Shareholder payout股东回报
+2.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.7

Company Profile公司档案

Flowers Foods, Inc., headquartered in Thomasville, Georgia, is a producer and marketer of packaged bakery foods in the United States. The company operates 44 bakeries across 19 states that produce a variety of products, including bread, buns, snack cakes, rolls,...FlowersFoods,Inc.总部位于佐治亚州托马斯维尔，是美国包装烘焙食品的生产商和销售商。该公司在19个州运营44家面包厂，生产面包、小圆面包、零食蛋糕、卷饼、玉米饼和糕点等多种产品。
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