EYE National Vision Holdings · $20.73 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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National Vision Holdings · Consumer Disc.

EYE

$20.73
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Small cap小盘 $2B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$20.73
29.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 29.6%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
55.6x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.25
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
65
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
6th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
20.9% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 EYE S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +6.0% -1.5% Beat the index by 7.5 points跑赢指数 7.5 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +27.2% +0.6% Beat the index by 26.6 points跑赢指数 26.6 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -19.3% +4.7% Lagged the index by 24.0 points落后指数 24.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -26.0% +7.8% Lagged the index by 33.8 points落后指数 33.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -20.1% +9.1% Lagged the index by 29.2 points落后指数 29.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -17.4% +19.4% Lagged the index by 36.8 points落后指数 36.8 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -14.5% +69.4% Lagged the index by 83.9 points落后指数 83.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 65 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +13.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -15.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 6th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$19.52
Don't chase above不追高于
$20.73
Stop止损
$16.30
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 EYE Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 55.62x 20.23
7%
P/B市净率 1.89x 2.97
65%
P/S市销率 0.83x 1.23
60%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 1.80% 4.53
17%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 4.46% 5.69
39%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.19% 4.31
9%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 12.30x 11.48
41%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 22.41x 16.53
33%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.7B
2020
$2.1B
2021
$2.0B
2022
$2.1B
2023
$1.8B
2024
$2.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.44
2020
$1.43
2021
$0.52
2022
$-0.84
2023
$-0.36
2024
$0.37
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -3.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$158.2M
2020
$163.4M
2021
$5.7M
2022
$58.3M
2023
$38.1M
2024
$73.5M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
3.0%
Net margin净利率
1.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
7.4%
3.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.32
Current ratio流动比率0.55
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$3.2M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$23.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.8%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.0) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 42% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 42% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.25×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +23.7%空头仓位变动 +23.7%
Technical技术面 EYE weekly MACD crossed upEYE 周线MACD上穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.3M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.3M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 16.3) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 20 天前形成 @ 16.3）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
EYE weekly MACD crossed upEYE 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 25, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 22, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 17, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 17, 2026
EYE broke down vs the marketEYE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $16.30.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$16.30。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 248 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.06
Value价值
+0.2
Quality质量
+0.6
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-2.4

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