DXCM Dexcom · $76.65 Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实 Terminal终端
Dexcom · Health Care

DXCM

$76.65
Dexcom, Inc. is an American multinational healthcare company that develops, manufactures, produces and distributes a line of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems for diabetes management.德康医疗公司是一家美国跨国医疗保健公司,开发、制造、生产并分销用于糖尿病管理的连续血糖监测系统。
Broken growth成长受损 Large cap大盘 $29B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 67.35.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启,若收盘重新跌破 67.35 则明确离场。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$76.65
14.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 14.4%
Market Cap市值
$29B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
35.3x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.69
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
59
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
72th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 DXCM S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +2.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.8 points跑赢指数 3.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +7.6% +0.6% Beat the index by 7.0 points跑赢指数 7.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +19.8% +4.7% Beat the index by 15.1 points跑赢指数 15.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +10.2% +7.8% Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +15.2% +9.1% Beat the index by 6.1 points跑赢指数 6.1 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -8.9% +19.4% Lagged the index by 28.3 points落后指数 28.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 59 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +13.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 72th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$75.29
Don't chase above不追高于
$77.74
Stop止损
$67.35
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being raised — 10 analysts预期上调 — 10 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: +15.5% (20d)财报后漂移:+15.5%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 DXCM Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 35.27x 28.92
35%
P/B市净率 10.74x 3.52
9%
P/S市销率 6.33x 3.02
22%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.84% 2.72
52%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.65% 3.94
45%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.70% 1.89
45%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 24.56x 18.21
32%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 27.38x 22.42
36%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.9B
2020
$2.4B
2021
$2.9B
2022
$3.6B
2023
$4.0B
2024
$4.7B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 19.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$5.06
2020
$1.55
2021
$0.82
2022
$1.30
2023
$1.42
2024
$2.09
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -16.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$276.6M
2020
$53.3M
2021
$304.7M
2022
$511.9M
2023
$630.7M
2024
$1.1B
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
60.1%
Operating margin营业利润率
19.6%
Net margin净利率
17.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
30.9%
30.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
13.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.79
Current ratio流动比率1.88
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$159.6M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-1.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.0) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 29% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 29% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.69×
0.2
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Health Care (Equal-Weight) theme — #6 of 46 themes「医疗保健(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 6 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 DXCM took relative-strength leadershipDXCM 取得相对强弱领先

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.35%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.49%
Call wall看涨密集区
$80
Put wall看跌密集区
$70
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$64
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.0%
Flow资金流向

$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 21 fresh positions; P/C 0.24; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M;0DTE占0%;21个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.24;≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.4M net (1 buyers, 3 sellers)+$0.4M 净值(1 买家,3 卖家)
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Perceptive Advisors A exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31
Casdin Capital B exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → BUY ZONE接近低点 → 买入区
BUY. New daily cycle, day 12: swing low in, price back above the 10-day average, daily momentum positive — and the weekly timeframe agrees买入。新的日线周期,第 12 天:摆动低点已现,价格重新站上 10 日均线,日线动量为正——且周线周期也一致确认
FRESH BUY BUY ZONE
Jul 16, 2026
DXCM took relative-strength leadershipDXCM 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $77.98.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$77.98。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 8, 2026
DXCM daily MACD crossed upDXCM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $74.06.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$74.06。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
DXCM StochRSI turned up from oversoldDXCM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $71.25.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$71.25。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
DXCM printed a daily-cycle lowDXCM 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $67.35.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$67.35。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.10
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
+0.7
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2

Company Profile公司档案

Dexcom, Inc. is an American multinational healthcare company that develops, manufactures, produces and distributes a line of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems for diabetes management.德康医疗公司是一家美国跨国医疗保健公司,开发、制造、生产并分销用于糖尿病管理的连续血糖监测系统。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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