CommVault Systems · Tech
CVLT
$147.81
Commvault Systems, Inc. is an American publicly traded cybersecurity and data protection software company.Commvault系统公司是一家美国上市的网络安全和数据保护软件公司。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Mid cap中盘
$7B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$147.81
24.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 24.4%
Market Cap市值
$7B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
92.1x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.05
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
62
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
45th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CVLT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.8% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +16.3% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 15.7 points跑赢指数 15.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +56.9% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 52.2 points跑赢指数 52.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +21.0% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 13.2 points跑赢指数 13.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +19.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 9.9 points跑赢指数 9.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -13.5% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 32.9 points落后指数 32.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +92.3% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 22.9 points跑赢指数 22.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
62
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+18.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+26.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
45th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$143.10
Don't chase above不追高于
$147.80
Stop止损
$125.20
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 9 analysts预期上调 — 9 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CVLT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 92.12x | 40.17 | 19% |
| P/B市净率 | 30.03x | 5.85 | 7% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.50x | 4.85 | 44% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.09% | 2.19 | 30% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.13% | 3.05 | 52% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 6.85% | 2.16 | 85% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 74.85x | 29.30 | 18% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 31.96x | 30.46 | 47% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
32.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -3.64 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.14 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $113.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.7)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 28% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 28% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.05×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +16.7%空头仓位变动 +16.7%
Technical技术面
CVLT took relative-strength leadershipCVLT 取得相对强弱领先
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.7M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$6.7M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
CVLT took relative-strength leadershipCVLT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $149.77.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$149.77。
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 14, 2026
CVLT daily MACD crossed downCVLT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $148.63.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$148.63。
Jul 9, 2026
Golden cross on CVLTCVLT 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $151.43.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$151.43。
Jul 9, 2026
CVLT RSI reached overboughtCVLT RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $151.43.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$151.43。
Jun 26, 2026
CVLT daily MACD crossed upCVLT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $140.04.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$140.04。
Jun 25, 2026
CVLT StochRSI turned up from oversoldCVLT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $133.94.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$133.94。
Jun 25, 2026
CVLT RSI reached overboughtCVLT RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $133.94.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$133.94。
Jun 24, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 268 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.41
Value价值
-1.0
Profitability盈利能力
+0.9
Quality质量
+1.1
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.7
Low volatility低波动
-1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.0
Company Profile公司档案
Commvault Systems, Inc. is an American publicly traded cybersecurity and data protection software company.Commvault系统公司是一家美国上市的网络安全和数据保护软件公司。
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。