Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$279.27
16.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 16.5%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
41.0x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.31
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
86th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CSW | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.6% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.2% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 2.6 points跑赢指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -3.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 8.4 points落后指数 8.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -15.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 23.3 points落后指数 23.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -5.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 14.3 points落后指数 14.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -3.7% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 23.1 points落后指数 23.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +66.3% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 3.1 points落后指数 3.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+0.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
86th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$269.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$279.30
Stop止损
$268.80
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CSW | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 41.05x | 29.89 | 29% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.25x | 2.21 | 21% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.44% | 3.10 | 36% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.31% | 3.81 | 40% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.89% | 2.29 | 57% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 19.57x | 16.39 | 32% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 30.24x | 25.50 | 35% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 20.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 33.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
4.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.01 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 4.03 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $5.1M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (11.8)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 30% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 30% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.31×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
News新闻
1 recent stories — mixed1 篇最新报道，多空参半
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
CSW daily MACD crossed upCSW 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.8M net (1 buyers, 6 sellers)-$3.8M 净值（1 买家，6 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 13, 2026
CSW daily MACD crossed upCSW 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $283.06.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$283.06。
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 10, 2026
CSW reclaimed its 200-day averageCSW 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $280.94.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$280.94。
Jul 10, 2026
CSW StochRSI turned up from oversoldCSW StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $280.94.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$280.94。
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → UNCONFIRMED TURN买入区 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
CSW lost its 200-day averageCSW 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $271.53.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$271.53。
Jul 7, 2026
CSW daily MACD crossed downCSW 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $271.53.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$271.53。
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
Death cross on CSWCSW 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $276.12.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$276.12。
Jul 2, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
CSW reclaimed its 200-day averageCSW 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $276.12.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$276.12。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
CSW lost its 200-day averageCSW 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $273.26.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$273.26。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 30, 2026
CSW reclaimed its 200-day averageCSW 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $278.30.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$278.30。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.88
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
-0.7
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
-0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.0
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Inventory build
Recent News最新动态
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。