CINF
Cincinnati Financial
·
$180.79
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Cincinnati Financial · Financials
CINF
$180.79
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance, its main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company.CincinnatiFinancialCorporation通过辛辛那提保险公司、辛辛那提赔偿公司和辛辛那提意外伤害公司提供财产和意外伤害保险，这是其主要业务。
Financial金融股
Large cap大盘
$28B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$180.79
5.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 5.9%
Market Cap市值
$28B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
11.8x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.07
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-27 (8d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
100th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CINF | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.8% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.3 points跑赢指数 2.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +8.4% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 3.7 points跑赢指数 3.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +12.1% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 4.3 points跑赢指数 4.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +12.6% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 3.5 points跑赢指数 3.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +23.4% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 4.0 points跑赢指数 4.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+5.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+10.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
100th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$175.20
Don't chase above不追高于
$180.80
Stop止损
$167.40
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
8
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-27
Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CINF | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 11.79x | 14.99 | 79% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.77x | 1.52 | 43% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.23x | 2.87 | 59% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 8.48% | 6.58 | 80% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.59% | 3.91 | 30% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
15.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $205.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $33.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/6
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 60% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 60% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.07×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/6
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Insurance & Brokers theme — #5 of 46 themes「保险与经纪」主题 — 46 个主题中第 5 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +23.2%空头仓位变动 +23.2%
Technical技术面
CINF daily MACD crossed downCINF 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.65%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.70%
Call wall看涨密集区
$190
Put wall看跌密集区
$180
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-6.5%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.3M net (2 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.3M 净值（2 买家，0 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 9, 2026
CINF daily MACD crossed downCINF 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $175.43.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$175.43。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
CINF made a new 52-week highCINF 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $187.21.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$187.21。
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
CINF took relative-strength leadershipCINF 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $184.08.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$184.08。
Jun 26, 2026
CINF made a new 52-week highCINF 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $184.08.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$184.08。
Jun 23, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 23, 2026
CINF RSI reached overboughtCINF RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $175.81.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$175.81。
Jun 22, 2026
CINF made a new 52-week highCINF 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $171.52.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$171.52。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 110 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.10
Value价值
+0.4
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.4
Low volatility低波动
+1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4
Company Profile公司档案
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance, its main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company.CincinnatiFinancialCorporation通过辛辛那提保险公司、辛辛那提赔偿公司和辛辛那提意外伤害公司提供财产和意外伤害保险，这是其主要业务。
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。