BRO Brown & Brown · $69.35 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Brown & Brown · Financials

BRO

$69.35
Brown & Brown, Inc. is an American insurance brokerage firm headquartered in Daytona Beach, Florida.布朗与布朗公司是一家美国保险经纪公司,总部位于佛罗里达州代托纳比奇。
Financial金融股 Large cap大盘 $23B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$69.35
32.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 32.8%
Market Cap市值
$23B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
22.1x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.26
Moves about -0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
64
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-27 (8d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
87th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 BRO S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +2.5% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.0 points跑赢指数 4.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +17.5% +0.6% Beat the index by 16.9 points跑赢指数 16.9 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +2.7% +4.7% Lagged the index by 2.0 points落后指数 2.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -12.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 20.7 points落后指数 20.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -10.2% +9.1% Lagged the index by 19.3 points落后指数 19.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -32.8% +19.4% Lagged the index by 52.2 points落后指数 52.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 64 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +14.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -3.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 87th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$67.12
Don't chase above不追高于
$69.35
Stop止损
$58.24
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

8
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-27

Estimates being raised — 3 analysts预期上调 — 3 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -14.7% (20d)财报后漂移:-14.7%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 BRO Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 22.11x 14.99
20%
P/S市销率 3.95x 2.87
38%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.52% 6.58
23%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.43% 3.91
7%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.6B
2020
$3.1B
2021
$3.6B
2022
$4.3B
2023
$4.8B
2024
$5.9B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 17.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.69
2020
$2.07
2021
$2.37
2022
$3.05
2023
$3.46
2024
$3.16
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$650.9M
2020
$897.4M
2021
$828.8M
2022
$940.6M
2023
$1.1B
2024
$1.4B
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
17.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
24.6%
3.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$100.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$93.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+17.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.3) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 29% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 29% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.26×
0.2
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
3/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Insurance & Brokers theme — #5 of 46 themes「保险与经纪」主题 — 46 个主题中第 5 位
Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +12.6%空头仓位变动 +12.6%
Technical技术面 NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.42%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.41%
Call wall看涨密集区
$75
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
4.9%
Skew: 偏斜:greed

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Giverny Capital C Holding持有 1.8% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 58.24) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 18 天前形成 @ 58.24)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 7, 2026
BRO RSI reached overboughtBRO RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $69.27.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$69.27。
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
BRO RSI reached overboughtBRO RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $67.36.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$67.36。
Jun 29, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.76
Value价值
-0.2
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.5

Company Profile公司档案

Brown & Brown, Inc. is an American insurance brokerage firm headquartered in Daytona Beach, Florida.布朗与布朗公司是一家美国保险经纪公司,总部位于佛罗里达州代托纳比奇。
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