AXP
American Express
·
$355.35
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
American Express · Financials
AXP
$355.35
American Express Company (Amex) is an American bank holding company and multinational financial services corporation that specializes in payment cards.美国运通公司（Amex）是一家美国银行控股公司和跨国金融服务企业，专注于支付卡业务。
Financial金融股
Mega cap超大盘
$244B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$355.35
7.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 7.2%
Market Cap市值
$244B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
22.5x
15.0x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
17.6x
EPS每股收益 $15.79
Beta贝塔
0.99
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.07%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-24 (5d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
59th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AXP | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.9 points跑赢指数 2.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +4.6% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 4.0 points跑赢指数 4.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +7.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -2.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 10.1 points落后指数 10.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -4.4% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 13.5 points落后指数 13.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +13.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 5.8 points落后指数 5.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +106.1% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 36.7 points跑赢指数 36.7 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +121.5% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 37.6 points跑赢指数 37.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+5.2% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
26
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
59th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$349.55
Don't chase above不追高于
$355.40
Stop止损
$317.60
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
5
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-24
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -5.2% (20d)财报后漂移：-5.2%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AXP | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 22.50x | 14.99 | 19% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 17.6x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 7.28x | 1.52 | 3% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.90x | 2.87 | 19% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.44% | 6.58 | 22% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.39% | 3.91 | 27% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
32.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $5.8B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $551.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 14% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 14% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.99×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
1.07%
Pays a dividend (1.07% yield)有分红（收益率 1.07%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Payments & Fintech theme — #9 of 46 themes「支付与金融科技」主题 — 46 个主题中第 9 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -10.4%空头仓位变动 -10.4%
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.94%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.34%
Call wall看涨密集区
$370
Put wall看跌密集区
$335
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$330
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.0%
Flow资金流向
$7M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 54 fresh positions; P/C 2.79; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI +5,703); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $7M；0DTE占0%；54个新建仓；看跌看涨比 2.79；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI +5,703）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$57.6M net (0 buyers, 9 sellers)-$57.6M 净值（0 买家，9 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Holding持有 | 17.4% | 2026-03-31 |
| Aquamarine Zurich AG (Spier) | D | Holding持有 | 15.3% | 2026-06-30 |
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 13, 2026
AXP took relative-strength leadershipAXP 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $354.43.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$354.43。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
AXP daily MACD crossed upAXP 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $350.58.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$350.58。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
AXP reclaimed its 200-day averageAXP 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $346.72.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$346.72。
Jul 9, 2026
AXP daily MACD crossed downAXP 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $346.72.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$346.72。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
AXP lost its 200-day averageAXP 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $336.39.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$336.39。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
AXP took relative-strength leadershipAXP 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $351.96.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$351.96。
Jul 2, 2026
AXP RSI reached overboughtAXP RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $351.96.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$351.96。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.11
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.4
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.8
Company Profile公司档案
American Express Company (Amex) is an American bank holding company and multinational financial services corporation that specializes in payment cards.美国运通公司（Amex）是一家美国银行控股公司和跨国金融服务企业，专注于支付卡业务。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。