AVB AvalonBay Communities · $192.53 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

AvalonBay Communities · Real Estate

AVB

$192.53

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that invests in apartments.AvalonBay社区公司是一家公开交易的房地产投资信托基金，投资于公寓。

Mixed profile混合特征 Large cap大盘 $27B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤

You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表 ↗

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$192.53

2.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.1%

Market Cap市值

$27B

Normal volume正常成交量

Forward P/E预测市盈率

39.5x

Beta贝塔

0.32

Moves about 0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍

Dividend Yield股息收益率

3.70%

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Neutral zone中性区域

Next Earnings下次财报

2026-07-29 (10d)

Volatility Rank波动率分位

73th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Short Interest空头兴趣

2.1% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期	AVB	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	+0.4%	-1.5%	Beat the index by 1.9 points跑赢指数 1.9 个百分点
1 Month近1月	+8.2%	+0.6%	Beat the index by 7.6 points跑赢指数 7.6 个百分点
3 Months近3月	+11.8%	+4.7%	Beat the index by 7.1 points跑赢指数 7.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月	+7.7%	+7.8%	In line with the index与指数基本持平
Year to date年初至今	+8.9%	+9.1%	In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Year近1年	-1.0%	+19.4%	Lagged the index by 20.4 points落后指数 20.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年	+11.0%	+69.4%	Lagged the index by 58.4 points落后指数 58.4 个百分点
5 Years近5年	+1.3%	+83.9%	Lagged the index by 82.6 points落后指数 82.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号

Short-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralIchimoku — Price Above Cloud

RSI (14)RSI（14） 56 Neutral zone中性区域

vs 50-day相对50日均线 +3.7% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 +9.0% vs 200-day avg

Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 20 Trending趋势中

Volatility rank波动率分位 73th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$188.90

Don't chase above不追高于

$192.50

Stop止损

$175.70

Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

days until next report天后公布财报

2026-07-29

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	AVB	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测）	39.5x	—	—
P/B市净率	2.32x	2.01	38%
P/S市销率	8.87x	6.79	29%
Shareholder yield股东收益率	1.81%	3.84	18%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA	12.31x	14.15	63%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$2.3B

2020

$2.3B

2021

$2.6B

2022

$2.8B

2023

$2.9B

2024

$3.0B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.7%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$5.89

2020

$7.19

2021

$8.12

2022

$6.56

2023

$7.60

2024

$7.40

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.7%

Margins利润率

Operating margin营业利润率

66.5%

FCF margin自由现金流利润率

55.0%

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA

3.12

Capital Allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）	$488.1M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$26.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	-1.5%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.0) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理

Cheaper than 43% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 43% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

0.32×

0.21×3×

Moves about 0.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍

Financial Health财务健康

4/7

Altman阿尔特曼: grey

Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱

Dividend分红

3.70%

Pays a dividend (3.70% yield)有分红（收益率 3.70%）

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Real Estate (Equal-Weight) theme — #8 of 46 themes「房地产（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 8 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易

Technical技术面 AVB took relative-strength leadershipAVB 取得相对强弱领先

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动

±1.37%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±3.07%

Call wall看涨密集区

$200

Put wall看跌密集区

$190

Gamma flip伽玛翻转

$185

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

-8.6%

Skew: 偏斜：fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.0M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.0M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点

TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~19 day(s) ago @ 175.68) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 19 天前形成 @ 175.68）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入

TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH

Jul 16, 2026

AVB took relative-strength leadershipAVB 取得相对强弱领先

Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $195.50.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$195.50。

Jul 13, 2026

UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中

BUY SETUP买入预备

Jul 13, 2026

AVB took relative-strength leadershipAVB 取得相对强弱领先

Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $194.53.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$194.53。

Jul 10, 2026

NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势

HOLD持有

Jul 8, 2026

BUY ZONE → NEARING A LOW买入区 → 接近低点

GET READY准备

Jul 2, 2026

AVB took relative-strength leadershipAVB 取得相对强弱领先

Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $193.96.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$193.96。

Jun 30, 2026

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点

TAKE PROFITS止盈

Jun 26, 2026

UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区

BUY买入

Jun 26, 2026

AVB took relative-strength leadershipAVB 取得相对强弱领先

Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $188.36.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$188.36。

Jun 26, 2026

AVB daily MACD crossed upAVB 日线MACD上穿

The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $188.36.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$188.36。

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