ASTH Astrana Health, Inc. · $44.94 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Astrana Health, Inc. · Health Care

ASTH

$44.94
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $2B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the daily momentum is already rollin筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且日线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$44.94
9.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 9.8%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
91.5x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.85
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
46th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.5% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 ASTH S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -4.1% -1.5% Lagged the index by 2.6 points落后指数 2.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +17.8% +0.6% Beat the index by 17.2 points跑赢指数 17.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +42.7% +4.7% Beat the index by 38.0 points跑赢指数 38.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +66.8% +7.8% Beat the index by 59.0 points跑赢指数 59.0 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +78.2% +9.1% Beat the index by 69.1 points跑赢指数 69.1 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +82.0% +19.4% Beat the index by 62.6 points跑赢指数 62.6 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +28.9% +69.4% Lagged the index by 40.5 points落后指数 40.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 53 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +9.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +50.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 46th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$43.32
Don't chase above不追高于
$44.94
Stop止损
$38.16
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 ASTH Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 91.54x 28.92
10%
P/B市净率 2.82x 3.52
59%
P/S市销率 0.69x 3.02
88%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 1.09% 2.72
33%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 4.76% 3.94
59%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.52% 1.89
41%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 22.58x 18.21
36%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 21.02x 22.42
52%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$687.2M
2020
$773.9M
2021
$1.1B
2022
$1.4B
2023
$2.0B
2024
$3.2B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 35.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.01
2020
$1.63
2021
$0.99
2022
$1.29
2023
$0.90
2024
$0.46
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -14.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$45.0M
2020
$51.1M
2021
$59.2M
2022
$39.7M
2023
$44.2M
2024
$104.5M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
2.5%
Net margin净利率
0.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
3.6%
3.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA4.90
Current ratio流动比率1.40
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$25.6M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$38.6M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+2.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.7) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 50% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 50% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.85×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +13.4%空头仓位变动 +13.4%
Technical技术面 ASTH daily MACD crossed downASTH 日线MACD下穿

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-17 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-17 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
ASTH daily MACD crossed downASTH 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $47.04.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$47.04。
Jul 14, 2026
ASTH RSI reached overboughtASTH RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $49.00.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$49.00。
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 24, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 24, 2026
ASTH RSI reached overboughtASTH RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $42.27.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$42.27。
Jun 23, 2026
ASTH made a new 52-week highASTH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $41.20.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$41.20。
Jun 23, 2026
ASTH daily MACD crossed upASTH 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $41.20.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$41.20。
Jun 18, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 18, 2026
ASTH took relative-strength leadershipASTH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $39.17.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$39.17。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 235 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -1.30
Value价值
+0.0
Quality质量
-0.6
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
-2.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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