AMSF Amerisafe, Inc. · $33.90 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端
Amerisafe, Inc. · Financials

AMSF

$33.90
Financial金融股 Small cap小盘 $640M
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认(价格仍位于 10 日均线下方),且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$33.90
23.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 23.0%
Market Cap市值
$640M
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
13.5x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.15
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
84th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 AMSF S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.6% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 +8.6% +0.6% Beat the index by 8.0 points跑赢指数 8.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +1.0% +4.7% Lagged the index by 3.7 points落后指数 3.7 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -8.8% +7.8% Lagged the index by 16.6 points落后指数 16.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -7.5% +9.1% Lagged the index by 16.6 points落后指数 16.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -20.3% +19.4% Lagged the index by 39.7 points落后指数 39.7 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -18.5% +69.4% Lagged the index by 87.9 points落后指数 87.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 54 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +6.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -3.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 84th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$33.70
Don't chase above不追高于
$33.90
Stop止损
$31.00
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 AMSF Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 13.53x 14.99
60%
P/B市净率 2.53x 1.52
26%
P/S市销率 2.01x 2.87
62%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 7.39% 6.58
61%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 7.63% 3.91
81%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$339.5M
2020
$315.9M
2021
$294.7M
2022
$306.9M
2023
$309.0M
2024
$317.3M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -1.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$4.47
2020
$3.39
2021
$2.88
2022
$3.23
2023
$2.89
2024
$2.47
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -11.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$62.5M
2020
$36.7M
2021
$26.1M
2022
$29.3M
2023
$23.4M
2024
$8.9M
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
14.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
3.5%
18.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$2.9M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-1.3%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/6 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 49% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 49% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.15×
0.2
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/6
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +30.7%空头仓位变动 +30.7%
Technical技术面 AMSF daily MACD crossed downAMSF 日线MACD下穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.1M 净值(0 买家,1 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-15 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-15 的低点(摆动低点已现),但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成,并非全部。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
AMSF daily MACD crossed downAMSF 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $32.77.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$32.77。
Jul 14, 2026
AMSF lost its 200-day averageAMSF 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $34.06.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$34.06。
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 13, 2026
AMSF reclaimed its 200-day averageAMSF 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $35.29.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$35.29。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
AMSF lost its 200-day averageAMSF 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $34.47.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$34.47。
Jul 7, 2026
AMSF reclaimed its 200-day averageAMSF 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $35.45.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$35.45。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
AMSF RSI reached overboughtAMSF RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $34.36.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$34.36。
Jun 23, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.22
Value价值
-0.0
Quality质量
-1.1
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.9
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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