AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd. · $84.96 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Assured Guaranty Ltd. · Financials

AGO

$84.96
Financial金融股 Mid cap中盘 $4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 75.64.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 75.64 则明确离场。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$84.96
7.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 7.0%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
7.6x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.12
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
68
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
81th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 AGO S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.5% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.0 points跑赢指数 5.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +10.0% +0.6% Beat the index by 9.4 points跑赢指数 9.4 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +0.7% +4.7% Lagged the index by 4.0 points落后指数 4.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +0.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 6.9 points落后指数 6.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -3.4% +9.1% Lagged the index by 12.5 points落后指数 12.5 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +2.9% +19.4% Lagged the index by 16.5 points落后指数 16.5 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +50.6% +69.4% Lagged the index by 18.8 points落后指数 18.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 68 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +2.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 81th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$84.31
Don't chase above不追高于
$85.47
Stop止损
$75.64
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 AGO Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 7.63x 14.99
96%
P/B市净率 0.68x 1.52
97%
P/S市销率 3.46x 2.87
44%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 13.10% 6.58
96%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 14.80% 3.91
96%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.1B
2020
$848.0M
2021
$723.0M
2022
$1.4B
2023
$872.0M
2024
$1.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$4.19
2020
$5.23
2021
$1.92
2022
$12.30
2023
$6.87
2024
$10.26
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 19.6%
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
45.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
23.3%
8.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$500.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-10.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 79% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 79% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.12×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -10.9%空头仓位变动 -10.9%
Technical技术面 AGO reclaimed its 200-day averageAGO 收复200日均线

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$14.1M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$14.1M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY. A new cycle low likely formed 24 day(s) ago (2026-06-11 @ 75.64): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — and the weekly timeframe agrees. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入。新的周期低点可能已在 24 天前形成 （2026-06-11 @ 75.64）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——且周线周期也一致确认。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
FRESH BUY BUY ZONE
Jul 16, 2026
AGO reclaimed its 200-day averageAGO 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $84.17.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$84.17。
Jul 15, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 14, 2026
AGO lost its 200-day averageAGO 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $82.68.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$82.68。
Jul 13, 2026
AGO reclaimed its 200-day averageAGO 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $83.73.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$83.73。
Jul 10, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
AGO lost its 200-day averageAGO 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $82.75.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$82.75。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 246 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 1.01
Value价值
+1.9
Quality质量
-1.0
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
+2.8
Low volatility低波动
+1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3

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