AGCO · Industrials
AGCO
$115.33
AGCO Corporation is an American agricultural machinery manufacturer headquartered in Duluth, Georgia, United States. It was founded in 1990.爱科集团是一家美国农业机械制造商，总部位于美国佐治亚州德卢斯，成立于1990年。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$8B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~24 day(s) ago @ 111.03 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's m日线转向已经完成——低点于约 24 天前形成 @ 111.03，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$115.33
17.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 17.7%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
11.5x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.04
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
23th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AGCO | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.9% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -2.5% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 7.2 points落后指数 7.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +4.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 3.7 points落后指数 3.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +9.5% | +9.1% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +8.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 11.3 points落后指数 11.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -12.2% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 81.6 points落后指数 81.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+1.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
23th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$114.50
Don't chase above不追高于
$116.00
Stop止损
$111.00
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AGCO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 11.53x | 29.89 | 92% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.96x | 3.90 | 84% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.83x | 2.21 | 83% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 8.67% | 3.10 | 93% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 8.84% | 3.81 | 89% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.02% | 2.29 | 70% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 11.68x | 16.39 | 78% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 11.32x | 25.50 | 88% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
17.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.85 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.39 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $28.4M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 85% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 85% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.04×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.3M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.3M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
AGCO StochRSI turned up from oversoldAGCO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $114.08.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$114.08。
Jul 10, 2026
AGCO reclaimed its 200-day averageAGCO 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $114.32.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$114.32。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 9, 2026
AGCO broke down vs the marketAGCO 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $113.26.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$113.26。
Jul 8, 2026
AGCO daily MACD crossed downAGCO 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $113.73.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$113.73。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
AGCO lost its 200-day averageAGCO 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $113.75.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$113.75。
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 274 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.10
Value价值
+0.6
Profitability盈利能力
-0.6
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3
Company Profile公司档案
AGCO Corporation is an American agricultural machinery manufacturer headquartered in Duluth, Georgia, United States. It was founded in 1990.爱科集团是一家美国农业机械制造商，总部位于美国佐治亚州德卢斯，成立于1990年。
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