Coal煤炭 (515220.SS)
NEARING A LOW接近低点
Entry入场 ▲ +20 lightlight?How well-timed & low-risk THIS entry is — near the cycle low, a fresh momentum turn, and with-trend. Measured: entries near the pivot drew ~30% smaller drawdowns than chasers far above it — risk control, NOT a return forecast.衡量当前入场的时机与风险——贴近周期低点、动量新近转向、且顺势。实测：贴近枢轴的入场，其回撤比远离枢轴的追高者约小 30%——这是风险控制，并非收益预测。
WAIT等待
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~10+ trading days. Wait for support to hold, or for the next low to set up.这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 10+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
⏱ NEARING A LOW signal just triggered today (fresh cross from UNCONFIRMED TURN). Signal strength: faint (score +0/100).⏱ 接近低点信号于今日刚刚触发（全新交叉，自未确认转向翻转）。 信号强度：微弱（评分 +0/100）。
📅 Daily cycle: day 13 of a typical 23–44 trading days日线周期：第 13 天，典型周期为 23–44 个交易日 — mid-cycle — trending周期中段——趋势运行中
🗓 Weekly (investor) cycle: week 13 of a typical 13–25 weeks周线（投资者）周期：第 13 周，典型周期为 13–25 周 — late — the bigger cycle is getting old晚期——更大的周期已趋于老化
The last cycle peaked in its FIRST half ('left-translated') — weak cycles top early, so this hints the bigger trend is tiring.上一周期在前半段见顶（“左移”）——弱周期见顶偏早，这暗示更大的趋势正在走弱。
full reasoning完整推理
Mixed structure. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell.结构混合。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号。 Next:下一步： Watch the 10-day average and cycle-day count.关注 10 日均线与周期天数。