Pick Lab · Display-only · ACCRUINGPick Lab · 仅展示 · 累积中

🧪 Candidate Pick Engines候选选股引擎

23 shadow books running on forward ledgers — measured against a random-control yardstick before any book earns operator attention. All data is display-only; nothing here drives live selection or gating.23个影子书在前向账本上运行 — 在任何书获得操作员关注之前,均与随机控制基准对比衡量。所有数据仅供展示;这里没有任何内容驱动实时选股或门控。

As of截至 2026-07-15 · Built生成时间 2026-07-17 02:35 UTC

Liquidity流动性 expanding
How to read this table:如何阅读此表: All 20 entry books are measured against the Random Control yardstick (pinned at bottom). ACCRUING = fewer than 25 fires across 3 months — do not act on these numbers yet; they are honest samples, not evidence. The ruler for Family C (washout) is absolute reversion-capture, not SPY-excess.所有20个入场书均与随机控制基准(固定在底部)进行比较。ACCRUING = 3个月内少于25次触发 — 暂不据此行动;这些是诚实样本,而非证据。C族(洗盘)的标尺是绝对均值回归捕获,而非SPY超额。
Book书本 Fam Status状态 N firesN触发 N openN开放 Dates日期 Mo span月跨 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MFE medMFE中位 MAE medMAE中位 Asym非对称 NAV exc cumNAV累积超额 Max DD最大回撤 vs Rand对比随机 vs Univ对比全市场
A 1D Pure (velocity gate) 1日纯速 (动能门) A ACCRUING 累积中 19 19 2 0.1 0.0%
A 1D Regime-filtered 1日制度过滤 A ACCRUING 累积中 20 20 2 0.1 0.0%
A 1D Sector-heat 1日板块热度 A ACCRUING 累积中 19 19 2 0.1 0.0%
A 1D Blastoff (3D gate miss) 1日起飞 (3日门遗漏) A ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
B Breakout + Volume 突破+量能 B ACCRUING 累积中 4 4 1 0.0 0.0%
B Residual Momentum (no gate) 残差动能 (无门控) B ACCRUING 累积中 12 12 1 0.0 0.0%
B On-the-Run Pullback 热门板块回调 B ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
B High Base / Squeeze 高位基建/盘整 B ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
C Deep Washout + Structure 深度洗盘+结构 C ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
C Sector Trough / Recovery 板块底部/复苏 C ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
C Clean Washout (quality screen) 优质洗盘 C ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
D EDGE Pure (no gate) 纯EDGE (无门控) D ACCRUING 累积中 12 12 1 0.0 0.0%
D EDGE × 1D Grid EDGE×1日网格 D ACCRUING 累积中 16 16 2 0.1 0.0%
D Quality Pullback 优质回调 D ACCRUING 累积中 2 2 1 0.0 0.0%
E Beta Squeeze Beta压缩 E ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
E Revision Acceleration 预测加速上修 E ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
F Flagship (no oscillator gate) 旗舰 (无振荡器门控) F ACCRUING 累积中 16 16 3 0.1 0.0%
F Flagship T3/T4 (early tiers) 旗舰T3/T4 (早期档位) F ACCRUING 累积中 16 16 2 0.1 0.0%
F Topping Avoid (INVERSE) 顶部规避 (反向) (AVOID — inverse)(规避 — 反向) F ACCRUING 累积中 3 3 1 0.0 0.0%
F Random Control 随机基准 (yardstick)(基准) F ACCRUING 累积中 35 35 3 0.1 0.0%
G Flow Leader (Board A — recurrence) 资金领头 (A板 — 出现频率) G ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
G Flow Washout Turn (Board B — inflection) 资金洗盘转机 (B板 — 转折) G ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
H Leader Radar Precipice (pre-breakaway alert) 领导雷达临界 (突破前预警) H ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
H Leader Radar Onset (BREAKAWAY entry) 领导雷达起爆 (突破入场) H ACCRUING 累积中 3 3 1 0.0 0.0%

Books 1–4 price the flagship gate's speed cost — names whose 1D oscillators crossed before the 2D/3D gate prints. First operator read clock: 2026-08-20. Family A ruler: 21-day SPY-excess.书1–4定价旗舰门控的速度成本 — 1日振荡器在2D/3D门印发前穿越的名称。第一次操作员读取时钟:2026-08-20。A族标尺:21日SPY超额。

A 1D Pure (velocity gate) 1日纯速 (动能门) NN=19 · WR21 excWR21超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中
#2 FCX
Materials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 46.0
#7 WMB
Energy
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 51.0
#8 VST
Utilities
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 54.0
#9 ORCL
Information Technology
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 0.0rsi14 31.0
#10 ETN
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0rsi14 52.0
#11 WY
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0rsi14 50.0
#12 IRM
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 50.0

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
FCX 2026-07-15 open
WMB 2026-07-15 open
VST 2026-07-15 open
ORCL 2026-07-15 open
ETN 2026-07-15 open
WY 2026-07-15 open
IRM 2026-07-15 open
ROST 2026-07-13 open
SATS 2026-07-13 open
EQIX 2026-07-13 open
GM 2026-07-13 open
NUE 2026-07-13 open
QCOM 2026-07-13 open
STLD 2026-07-13 open
MS 2026-07-13 open
TGT 2026-07-13 open
COST 2026-07-13 open
F 2026-07-13 open
CCI 2026-07-13 open
A 1D Regime-filtered 1日制度过滤 NN=20 · WR21 excWR21超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中
#4 HWM
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 1.08
#6 GS
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 8.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 0.88
#7 JCI
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 0.83
#8 FCX
Materials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 0.8
#9 IRM
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 0.56
#10 DG
Consumer Staples
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 0.39
#11 D
Utilities
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 0.33
#12 HON
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 0.22

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
HWM 2026-07-15 open
GS 2026-07-15 open
JCI 2026-07-15 open
FCX 2026-07-15 open
IRM 2026-07-15 open
DG 2026-07-15 open
D 2026-07-15 open
HON 2026-07-15 open
STLD 2026-07-13 open
ROST 2026-07-13 open
NUE 2026-07-13 open
CSCO 2026-07-13 open
WBD 2026-07-13 open
TGT 2026-07-13 open
GM 2026-07-13 open
EQIX 2026-07-13 open
MS 2026-07-13 open
EIX 2026-07-13 open
EA 2026-07-13 open
F 2026-07-13 open
A 1D Sector-heat 1日板块热度 NN=19 · WR21 excWR21超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中
#1 SATS
Communication Services
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase None
#2 HWM
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase None
#6 WMB
Energy
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase None
#8 ECHO
Communication Services
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase None
#9 DIS
Communication Services
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase None
#10 VST
Utilities
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase None
#11 GS
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase None
#12 JPM
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase None
#2 TGT
Consumer Staples
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase None
#4 DG
Consumer Staples
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase None
#5 COST
Consumer Staples
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase None

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
SATS 2026-07-15 open
HWM 2026-07-15 open
WMB 2026-07-15 open
ECHO 2026-07-15 open
DIS 2026-07-15 open
VST 2026-07-15 open
GS 2026-07-15 open
JPM 2026-07-15 open
TGT 2026-07-15 open
DG 2026-07-15 open
COST 2026-07-15 open
MS 2026-07-13 open
JCI 2026-07-13 open
D 2026-07-13 open
DHR 2026-07-13 open
CEG 2026-07-13 open
EIX 2026-07-13 open
PCG 2026-07-13 open
HON 2026-07-13 open
A 1D Blastoff (3D gate miss) 1日起飞 (3日门遗漏) NN=0 · WR21 excWR21超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中

No picks today for this book.今日此书无选择。

On the Run Stocks热门板块个股 on_the_run sector context · Book 7热门板块背景 · 书7
# VRSK $191.94
Industrials
# JBHT $276.28
Industrials
# ODFL $225.23
Industrials
# HUBG $47.80
Industrials
# KNX $73.57
Industrials
# HEI $351.59
Industrials
# GWW $1,371.44
Industrials
# LBRT $25.13
Energy
# TILE $33.41
Industrials
# LNG $255.83
Energy
# FTI $72.27
Energy
# WTS $349.21
Industrials
# LQDT $39.65
Industrials
# CW $751.64
Industrials
# ULS $87.75
Industrials
# CAR $160.91
Industrials
# WWD $401.99
Industrials
# CVI $32.55
Energy
# SAIA $417.05
Industrials
# MLI $57.51
Industrials
# HTLD $14.52
Industrials
# MRTN $17.17
Industrials
# AAL $15.63
Industrials
# HCSG $24.36
Industrials
# TRGP $278.16
Energy
# ECG $138.46
Industrials
# KMT $34.76
Industrials
# ADP $247.47
Industrials
# SNDR $36.44
Industrials
# VMI $544.38
Industrials
Take Profits / Topping Stocks止盈/见顶个股 NOT buys — avoid / exit context非买入 — 规避/退出背景

Book 19 (Topping Avoid, INVERSE) — cycle_state TOP WATCH / ROLLING OVER or high RSI in take-profit sectors. Scored as avoid-accuracy: expected negative 21d excess. Do NOT treat these as buy signals.书19(顶部规避,反向)— 周期状态TOP WATCH / ROLLING OVER或止盈板块高RSI。评分为规避准确性:预期负21日超额。切勿将这些视为买入信号。

# ACIW $57.04
Information Technology
# BOX $30.47
Information Technology
# NABL $4.75
Information Technology
# SPSC $64.11
Information Technology
# QLYS $159.32
Information Technology
# BILL $44.63
Information Technology
# DBX $30.35
Information Technology
# TOST $30.39
Information Technology
# AAPL $327.50
Information Technology
# SNOW $271.87
Information Technology
# SCSC $53.34
Information Technology
# CXT $51.41
Information Technology
# OKTA $150.86
Information Technology
# S $19.58
Information Technology
# CRWD $206.77
Information Technology
# PANW $354.02
Information Technology
# CXM $5.75
Information Technology
# TENB $40.19
Information Technology
# PRGS $38.93
Information Technology
# DOCU $51.16
Information Technology
# KVYO $17.63
Information Technology
# FTNT $164.51
Information Technology
# NTNX $54.59
Information Technology
# RAMP $37.76
Information Technology
# NET $273.04
Information Technology
# DDOG $264.46
Information Technology
# GDDY $91.27
Information Technology
# CNXN $76.06
Information Technology
# CVLT $146.13
Information Technology
# MANH $156.58
Information Technology

Select a book to view today's picks and recently graded fires.选择一本书查看今日选择和最近评级触发。

A 1D Pure (velocity gate) 1日纯速 (动能门) N firesN触发=19 · WR21 excWR21超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中

Ruler标尺: 21d_spy_excess

#2 FCX
Materials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 46.0
#7 WMB
Energy
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 51.0
#8 VST
Utilities
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 54.0
#9 ORCL
Information Technology
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 0.0rsi14 31.0
#10 ETN
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0rsi14 52.0
#11 WY
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0rsi14 50.0
#12 IRM
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 50.0

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc ret21日超额回报 Status状态
FCX 2026-07-15 open
WMB 2026-07-15 open
VST 2026-07-15 open
ORCL 2026-07-15 open
ETN 2026-07-15 open
WY 2026-07-15 open
IRM 2026-07-15 open
ROST 2026-07-13 open
SATS 2026-07-13 open
EQIX 2026-07-13 open
GM 2026-07-13 open
NUE 2026-07-13 open
QCOM 2026-07-13 open
STLD 2026-07-13 open
MS 2026-07-13 open
TGT 2026-07-13 open
COST 2026-07-13 open
F 2026-07-13 open
CCI 2026-07-13 open
Early Turn Screen早期拐点筛选 BETA

As of截至 2026-07-15

Stocks washed out on the slow frame, first daily up-tick today. Watch — don't chase.慢框架超跌、当日日线首现回升的股票。观察为主,勿追高。

T0 = 3-day-frame StochRSI under 30 with a same-day daily StochRSI up-cross (RSI14/Stoch14/3/3). Beta — an early, unproven flag; not a buy signal.T0 = 3日框架StochRSI低于30且当日日线StochRSI上穿(RSI14/Stoch14/3/3)。测试版 — 早期且未经验证的提示,并非买入信号。

Showing top 30 of显示前30,共 45 by liquidity按流动性排序

Ticker代码 Sector板块 Close收盘 Slow frame慢框架 Daily日线 Liquidity流动性
GOOGL Communication Services $370.92 washed out深度超跌 (K 27) turned up today今日上穿 $9.8B
GOOG Communication Services $370.21 washed out深度超跌 (K 27) turned up today今日上穿 $7.2B
ORCL Information Technology $132.49 washed out深度超跌 (K 0) turned up today今日上穿 $5.4B
TJX Consumer Discretionary $150.97 washed out深度超跌 (K 9) turned up today今日上穿 $836M
ECHO Communication Services $96.57 washed out深度超跌 (K 1) turned up today今日上穿 $756M
ARE Real Estate $48.70 washed out深度超跌 (K 12) turned up today今日上穿
BEN Financials $33.63 washed out深度超跌 (K 16) turned up today今日上穿
GNRC Industrials $226.58 washed out深度超跌 (K 0) turned up today今日上穿
TDG Industrials $1232.18 washed out深度超跌 (K 24) turned up today今日上穿
TPR Consumer Discretionary $140.26 washed out深度超跌 (K 25) turned up today今日上穿
AGX Industrials $609.24 washed out深度超跌 (K 5) turned up today今日上穿
ALKS Health Care $51.98 washed out深度超跌 (K 29) turned up today今日上穿
HTLD Industrials $14.52 washed out深度超跌 (K 3) turned up today今日上穿
HZO Consumer Discretionary $34.78 washed out深度超跌 (K 5) turned up today今日上穿
OPLN Industrials $41.16 washed out深度超跌 (K 8) turned up today今日上穿
MAC Real Estate $25.17 washed out深度超跌 (K 28) turned up today今日上穿
MRCY Industrials $102.97 washed out深度超跌 (K 6) turned up today今日上穿
MSGS Communication Services $390.02 washed out深度超跌 (K 8) turned up today今日上穿
MWA Industrials $24.87 washed out深度超跌 (K 24) turned up today今日上穿
PENN Consumer Discretionary $21.12 washed out深度超跌 (K 27) turned up today今日上穿
PHIN Consumer Discretionary $79.53 washed out深度超跌 (K 5) turned up today今日上穿
PRIM Industrials $90.67 washed out深度超跌 (K 27) turned up today今日上穿
SABR Consumer Discretionary $1.76 washed out深度超跌 (K 27) turned up today今日上穿
SPHR Communication Services $143.42 washed out深度超跌 (K 6) turned up today今日上穿
STAA Health Care $28.50 washed out深度超跌 (K 8) turned up today今日上穿
TMP Financials $92.93 washed out深度超跌 (K 18) turned up today今日上穿
UFPT Health Care $245.93 washed out深度超跌 (K 21) turned up today今日上穿
XPEL Consumer Discretionary $44.99 washed out深度超跌 (K 15) turned up today今日上穿
AR Energy $33.58 washed out深度超跌 (K 30) turned up today今日上穿
DY Industrials $428.77 washed out深度超跌 (K 2) turned up today今日上穿

First maturation ETA首次到期预计时间: 2027-01-05 (126 trading days交易日)

Long-hold grids accrue at a 126/252-day horizon. No verdict language before maturation. Ruler: 126d/252d sector-relative + SPY-excess, descriptive only.长持网格以126/252日地平线累积。到期前无结论语言。标尺:126日/252日板块相对+SPY超额,仅描述性。

⚠️ Firewall防火墙: Long-hold grids are display-only and never feed entry surfaces (PL-R6). Promotion of any LH grid belongs to the long-hold program (G1), not this lab.长持网格仅供展示,永不进入入场界面(PL-R6)。任何LH网格的晋升属于长持项目(G1),而非本实验室。

As of截至 2026-07-15

LH LH Compounder Grid 长持复利网格 ACCRUING 累积中

No long-hold picks today for this grid.今日此网格无长持选择。

LH LH EDGE Durability Grid 长持EDGE耐久网格 ACCRUING 累积中

No long-hold picks today for this grid.今日此网格无长持选择。

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
SNDK 2026-07-13 open
WDC 2026-07-13 open
NUE 2026-07-13 open
ROST 2026-07-13 open
AMAT 2026-07-13 open
TJX 2026-07-13 open
VRT 2026-07-13 open
TRGP 2026-07-13 open
AMD 2026-07-13 open
CSX 2026-07-13 open
LH LH Washout Survivor Grid 长持洗盘幸存网格 ACCRUING 累积中

No long-hold picks today for this grid.今日此网格无长持选择。

Board Record 选板记录

How well has the US Buy Board identified winners before they moved? Record is measuring — first read expected ~Sep 15 2026 when cluster-unit floors are met (SA-R10). 美国买入板过去是否提前识别到赢家?记录正在累积中——首次读取预计2026年9月15日(集群单元下限达到,SA-R10)。

ACCRUING — first read ~Sep 15 2026 累积中 — 首次读取约2026年9月15日
Stratified Scoreboard 分层记分板
📊

No matured rows yet. Rows accrue as 21d windows close — first read ~Sep 15 2026. 暂无成熟行。行随21日窗口关闭而累积——首次读取约2026年9月15日。

Buy-lane rows in ledger: 0 (all horizons, including immature) 买入通道账本行:0(所有地平线,含未成熟)

Outcome Causes 结果原因
Measuring — outcome-cause breakdown available once attribution rows mature. 测量中——结果原因分解在归因行成熟后可用。
Process Faults 流程缺陷
Measuring — process-fault breakdown available once attribution rows mature. 测量中——流程缺陷分解在归因行成熟后可用。
pp Lost on Surfaced Losers 已浮现亏损者损失pp
Sensor maturing — available once winner/loser attribution accumulates. 传感器累积中——赢家/亏损者归因积累后可用。
pp Forgone on Unsurfaced Winners 未浮现赢家错失pp
Sensor maturing — available once missed-mover census accumulates. 传感器累积中——遗漏动向普查积累后可用。
Coverage Monitor 覆盖率监控
384 unique tickers surfaced (trailing 4wk) 个独特代码(近4周)
Frozen baseline: 冻结基准:
Week Tickers代码数
2026-06-15/2026-06-21 182
2026-06-22/2026-06-28 209
2026-06-29/2026-07-05 78
2026-07-06/2026-07-12 19
Upstream Concordance 上游一致性

Gate suppressed: data_gap: near_miss store lacks excess_spy column 门控被抑制:data_gap: near_miss store lacks excess_spy column

Concordance data accruing — available once attribution rows mature. 一致性数据累积中——归因行成熟后可用。

Authority: display_only. All numbers from committed audit artifacts (SA-W1). Cluster-unit CIs per SA-R10. No verdict language before floor (raw n ≥25, eff. n ≥3, ≥3 calendar months). 授权:仅展示。所有数字来自已提交审计工件(SA-W1)。集群单元置信区间按SA-R10。下限(原始n≥25、有效n≥3、≥3个日历月)前无结论语言。 · As of截至 2026-07-16

What this lab measures本实验室测量什么

23 frozen candidate pick engines run in parallel on forward ledgers. Each book fires picks nightly; those picks are graded when the horizon elapses. Nothing here drives live selection. The purpose is evidence accrual: let the data tell us which constructions are worth a formal gauntlet.23个冻结候选选股引擎在前向账本上并行运行。每本书每晚触发选择;当地平线经过时,这些选择被评级。这里没有任何内容驱动实时选股。目的是证据累积:让数据告诉我们哪些构造值得正式考验。

Rulers (per family, pre-declared — PL-R3)标尺(每族,预先声明 — PL-R3)

  • Families A, B, D, E, F: primary ruler = 21-trading-day SPY-excess (win rate + median excess). 5/10/63d recorded as descriptive ladder.A、B、D、E、F族:主标尺 = 21交易日SPY超额(胜率+中位超额)。5/10/63日记录为描述性阶梯。
  • Family C (Washout/Reversion): primary ruler = 21-session absolute reversion-capture + MFE/MAE asymmetry. 63d excess is the wrong ruler here.C族(洗盘/均值回归):主标尺 = 21节绝对均值回归捕获 + MFE/MAE非对称。63日超额在此为错误标尺。
  • Book 19 (Topping Avoid, INVERSE): scored as avoid-accuracy — expected negative 21d excess.书19(顶部规避,反向):评分为规避准确性 — 预期负21日超额。
  • Long-hold grids: 126d and 252d sector-relative + SPY-excess, descriptive only.长持网格:126日和252日板块相对+SPY超额,仅描述性。

Controls (PL-R5)控制变量(PL-R5)

Every book is measured against two yardsticks: (1) the Random Control book (12 uniform-random liquid names, deterministic seed per day), visible in the scoreboard; and (2) the universe buy-anytime base rate. Every headline number is lift over both, not raw win rate.每本书均与两个基准进行比较:(1)随机控制书(12个均匀随机流动名称,每日确定性种子),在记分板中可见;以及(2)全市场随时买入基准率。每个标题数字是相对于两者的提升,而非原始胜率。

ACCRUING floor (PL-R4)累积下限(PL-R4)

No verdict language before n≥25 fires spanning ≥3 calendar months and ≥6 distinct fire dates.在n≥25次触发跨越≥3个日历月和≥6个不同触发日期之前,无结论语言。 Until then, the status badge reads ACCRUING. Even past the floor, this page shows descriptive summaries only.在此之前,状态徽章显示ACCRUING。即使超过下限,此页面也仅显示描述性摘要。

What promotion would take (PL-R1)晋升所需条件(PL-R1)

Promotion of any book beyond display-tier requires the existing gauntlet: n≥25 fires across ≥3 months, a time-preserving placebo (no ticker-cluster CIs without time control), and pre-registered outcome gates. The lab contributes forward evidence only. Operator daily review (PL-R8) is a sanctioned selection heuristic for gauntlet slots — never promotion evidence by itself.任何书超越展示层级的晋升都需要现有的考验:跨越≥3个月的n≥25次触发,时间保留安慰剂(没有无时间控制的代码集群置信区间),以及预先注册的结果门控。实验室仅提供前向证据。操作员每日审查(PL-R8)是考验槽位的制裁选择启发式 — 本身从不是晋升证据。

Frozen configs (PL-R2)冻结配置(PL-R2)

Every book registers a frozen config + config_hash at ship time. Any parameter change ships as engine_id-v2 with a fresh ledger. Ledgers are never edited or re-scored in place.每本书在发布时注册一个冻结配置+config_hash。任何参数更改以engine_id-v2发布,带有新账本。账本永不就地编辑或重新评分。

Candidate families候选族

  • A — 1D Velocity: 4 books pricing the flagship gate's speed cost on fast movers. Clock: 2026-08-20.4本书定价旗舰门控在快速移动者上的速度成本。时钟:2026-08-20。
  • B — Momentum: 4 books (breakout-vol, residual-momentum, OTR pullback, high-base squeeze).4本书(突破量能、残差动能、OTR回调、高位基建盘整)。
  • C — Washout/Reversion: 3 books; absolute reversion ruler, not SPY-excess.3本书;绝对均值回归标尺,而非SPY超额。
  • D — EDGE/Quality: 3 books (EDGE pure, EDGE×1D, quality pullback).3本书(纯EDGE、EDGE×1日、优质回调)。
  • E — Context/Personality: 2 books (beta-squeeze, revision-accel).2本书(Beta压缩、预测加速上修)。
  • F — Ablations + Control: 4 books including flagship-nogate, flagship-T3/T4, topping-avoid (INVERSE), and the random control yardstick.4本书,包括旗舰无门控、旗舰T3/T4、顶部规避(反向)和随机控制基准。
  • LH — Long-Hold: 3 grids (compounder, EDGE durability, washout survivor). Firewalled from entry surfaces.3个网格(复利、EDGE耐久、洗盘幸存)。与入场界面隔离。

Notes from last run上次运行说明

Display-only forward-evidence lab. All books ACCRUING until n≥25 fires / ≥3 months / ≥6 distinct fire dates. plab_random_ctrl = yardstick (buy-anytime base rate). Authority: display_only. Never gates or scores anything.

Authority: display_only. All rows carry authority: "display_only" per PL-R10.授权:仅展示。所有行按照PL-R10携带授权:"display_only"。 · Built生成时间 2026-07-17 02:35 UTC