{
  "schema": "altdata.mastermind.v1",
  "as_of": "2026-07-17",
  "generated_utc": "2026-07-17T16:25:29.014484+00:00",
  "contract": "Actionable alt-data axis for the Mastermind bot. Each signal: signal_score 0-100 (composite of weighted convergence + brain conviction + price confirm \u2212 extension), action \u2208 {ACCUMULATE,WATCH,AVOID}, direction \u2208 {long,short,neutral}, source \u2208 {brain,deterministic}. The bot sizes through its OWN risk framework; this is an input, not an order. Brain calls are graded vs SPY (see calibration). An extended name is never ACCUMULATE. trump_linked / affiliations flag actor ties. rolling_over names (off_high\u2264\u221215% AND 20d<0 AND below 50dma) appear in broken_signals only \u2014 crowd attention, NOT entries. entry_tier (T1/T2/T3) = validated confluence buy gate signal.",
  "regime_read": null,
  "brain_present": false,
  "brain_usable": false,
  "article3": {
    "granted": false,
    "lift_lb": null,
    "reason": "insufficient-n: n=14 < min_n=25",
    "evidence_asof": "2026-07-16",
    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-17T03:54:08+00:00"
  },
  "is_context_only": true,
  "calibration": {
    "n_scored": 0,
    "hit_rate": null,
    "open": 0,
    "note": "No theses scored yet \u2014 the track record begins once the first check-by dates pass. Keep conviction modest until it does."
  },
  "n_signals": 107,
  "n_broken": 37,
  "signals": [
    {
      "ticker": "NVDA",
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      "conviction": "high",
      "action": "WATCH",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 2.6,
      "convergence_score": 7,
      "channels": [
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        "cnbc_pick",
        "darkpool_accum",
        "hf_model_momentum",
        "patent_cluster",
        "retail_buzz",
        "special_situation"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -3.2,
      "no_price_data": false,
      "extended": false,
      "rolling_over": false,
      "off_high_252": -11.9,
      "ret_20d": -0.0,
      "above_50dma": false,
      "entry_tier": null,
      "affiliations": [
        {
          "actor": "Jensen Huang",
          "rel": "CONTROLS",
          "kind": "exec"
        },
        {
          "actor": "Nancy Pelosi",
          "rel": "HOLDS_STAKE",
          "kind": "politician"
        },
        {
          "actor": "Marjorie Taylor Greene",
          "rel": "HOLDS_STAKE",
          "kind": "politician"
        },
        {
          "actor": "Michael McCaul",
          "rel": "HOLDS_STAKE",
          "kind": "politician"
        },
        {
          "actor": "Jim Cramer",
          "rel": "TALKS_ABOUT",
          "kind": "influencer"
        },
        {
          "actor": "Paul Pelosi",
          "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH",
          "kind": "influencer"
        }
      ],
      "n_affiliated_actors": 6,
      "thesis": null,
      "second_order": [],
      "falsifier": null,
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    },
    {
      "ticker": "MSFT",
      "signal_score": 61,
      "conviction": "high",
      "action": "WATCH",
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      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 2.05,
      "convergence_score": 5,
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        "github_momentum",
        "gov_contract",
        "patent_cluster"
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      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -9.8,
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      "off_high_252": -25.5,
      "ret_20d": 1.8,
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      "affiliations": [
        {
          "actor": "Sam Altman",
          "rel": "PARTNERS_WITH",
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        {
          "actor": "Bill Ackman",
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    },
    {
      "ticker": "AAPL",
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      "conviction": "medium",
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      "trump_linked": true,
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      "off_high_252": 0.0,
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        {
          "actor": "Paul Pelosi",
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          "kind": "influencer"
        },
        {
          "actor": "Marjorie Taylor Greene",
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          "kind": "politician"
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        {
          "actor": "Warren Buffett",
          "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH",
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    },
    {
      "ticker": "GOOGL",
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      "conviction": "high",
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      "source": "deterministic",
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      "off_high_252": -11.9,
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    {
      "ticker": "LUV",
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          "actor": "Paul Singer",
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    },
    {
      "ticker": "LILA",
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      "conviction": "medium",
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    {
      "ticker": "AMZN",
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        {
          "actor": "Paul Pelosi",
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    {
      "ticker": "PLTR",
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      "conviction": "medium",
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      "off_high_252": -35.1,
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        {
          "actor": "Cathie Wood",
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    {
      "ticker": "AMD",
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    {
      "ticker": "F",
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      "ticker": "MRK",
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      "ticker": "DHR",
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      "ticker": "GOOG",
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      "ticker": "GSK",
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      "ticker": "ABBV",
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      "ticker": "UBER",
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      "ticker": "DASH",
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      "ticker": "CVS",
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      "ticker": "LULU",
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      "off_high_252": -61.9,
      "ret_20d": -33.8,
      "above_50dma": false,
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      "affiliations": [
        {
          "actor": "Larry Ellison",
          "rel": "CONTROLS",
          "kind": "exec"
        },
        {
          "actor": "Larry Ellison",
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      ],
      "n_affiliated_actors": 2,
      "thesis": null,
      "second_order": [],
      "falsifier": null,
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    },
    {
      "ticker": "TDG",
      "signal_score": 24,
      "conviction": "medium",
      "action": "WATCH",
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      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 0.85,
      "convergence_score": 2,
      "channels": [
        "13f_add",
        "congress_buy"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -9.3,
      "no_price_data": false,
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      "off_high_252": -18.8,
      "ret_20d": -5.4,
      "above_50dma": false,
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    },
    {
      "ticker": "BWXT",
      "signal_score": 24,
      "conviction": "medium",
      "action": "WATCH",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 1.0,
      "convergence_score": 2,
      "channels": [
        "activist_13d",
        "congress_buy"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -29.7,
      "no_price_data": false,
      "extended": false,
      "rolling_over": true,
      "off_high_252": -27.0,
      "ret_20d": -11.8,
      "above_50dma": false,
      "entry_tier": null,
      "affiliations": [],
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      "second_order": [],
      "falsifier": null,
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    },
    {
      "ticker": "LUNR",
      "signal_score": 24,
      "conviction": "medium",
      "action": "WATCH",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 1.0,
      "convergence_score": 3,
      "channels": [
        "gov_contract",
        "retail_buzz",
        "special_situation"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -57.1,
      "no_price_data": false,
      "extended": false,
      "rolling_over": true,
      "off_high_252": -70.6,
      "ret_20d": -42.5,
      "above_50dma": false,
      "entry_tier": null,
      "affiliations": [],
      "n_affiliated_actors": 0,
      "thesis": null,
      "second_order": [],
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      "clamped": null
    },
    {
      "ticker": "POWL",
      "signal_score": 24,
      "conviction": "medium",
      "action": "WATCH",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 0.85,
      "convergence_score": 2,
      "channels": [
        "news_sentiment",
        "unusual_options"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -8.3,
      "no_price_data": false,
      "extended": false,
      "rolling_over": true,
      "off_high_252": -26.8,
      "ret_20d": -19.4,
      "above_50dma": false,
      "entry_tier": null,
      "affiliations": [],
      "n_affiliated_actors": 0,
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      "second_order": [],
      "falsifier": null,
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    },
    {
      "ticker": "RDW",
      "signal_score": 23,
      "conviction": "medium",
      "action": "WATCH",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 0.95,
      "convergence_score": 2,
      "channels": [
        "material_8k",
        "special_situation"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -23.2,
      "no_price_data": false,
      "extended": false,
      "rolling_over": true,
      "off_high_252": -67.4,
      "ret_20d": -37.4,
      "above_50dma": false,
      "entry_tier": null,
      "affiliations": [],
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      "second_order": [],
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    },
    {
      "ticker": "QBTS",
      "signal_score": 22,
      "conviction": "medium",
      "action": "WATCH",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 0.95,
      "convergence_score": 2,
      "channels": [
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        "special_situation"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -27.8,
      "no_price_data": false,
      "extended": false,
      "rolling_over": true,
      "off_high_252": -62.2,
      "ret_20d": -29.3,
      "above_50dma": false,
      "entry_tier": null,
      "affiliations": [],
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    },
    {
      "ticker": "ASPI",
      "signal_score": 22,
      "conviction": "medium",
      "action": "WATCH",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 0.95,
      "convergence_score": 2,
      "channels": [
        "material_8k",
        "special_situation"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -33.8,
      "no_price_data": false,
      "extended": false,
      "rolling_over": true,
      "off_high_252": -71.9,
      "ret_20d": -38.7,
      "above_50dma": false,
      "entry_tier": null,
      "affiliations": [],
      "n_affiliated_actors": 0,
      "thesis": null,
      "second_order": [],
      "falsifier": null,
      "clamped": null
    },
    {
      "ticker": "SPCX",
      "signal_score": 22,
      "conviction": "medium",
      "action": "WATCH",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 0.95,
      "convergence_score": 2,
      "channels": [
        "material_8k",
        "special_situation"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -24.5,
      "no_price_data": false,
      "extended": false,
      "rolling_over": true,
      "off_high_252": -38.0,
      "ret_20d": -38.0,
      "above_50dma": false,
      "entry_tier": null,
      "affiliations": [],
      "n_affiliated_actors": 0,
      "thesis": null,
      "second_order": [],
      "falsifier": null,
      "clamped": null
    },
    {
      "ticker": "UUUU",
      "signal_score": 22,
      "conviction": "medium",
      "action": "WATCH",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 0.95,
      "convergence_score": 2,
      "channels": [
        "material_8k",
        "special_situation"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -51.7,
      "no_price_data": false,
      "extended": false,
      "rolling_over": true,
      "off_high_252": -57.9,
      "ret_20d": -23.9,
      "above_50dma": false,
      "entry_tier": null,
      "affiliations": [],
      "n_affiliated_actors": 0,
      "thesis": null,
      "second_order": [],
      "falsifier": null,
      "clamped": null
    },
    {
      "ticker": "UCTT",
      "signal_score": 22,
      "conviction": "low",
      "action": "WATCH",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 0.5,
      "convergence_score": 1,
      "channels": [
        "affiliation"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": 10.6,
      "no_price_data": false,
      "extended": false,
      "rolling_over": true,
      "off_high_252": -35.1,
      "ret_20d": -15.3,
      "above_50dma": false,
      "entry_tier": null,
      "affiliations": [
        {
          "actor": "Ro Khanna",
          "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH",
          "kind": "politician"
        }
      ],
      "n_affiliated_actors": 1,
      "thesis": null,
      "second_order": [],
      "falsifier": null,
      "clamped": null
    },
    {
      "ticker": "IONQ",
      "signal_score": 21,
      "conviction": "medium",
      "action": "WATCH",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "source": "deterministic",
      "weighted_score": 0.9,
      "convergence_score": 2,
      "channels": [
        "gov_grant",
        "special_situation"
      ],
      "trump_linked": false,
      "rs_vs_spy_60d": -33.3,
      "no_price_data": false,
      "extended": false,
      "rolling_over": true,
      "off_high_252": -57.2,
      "ret_20d": -37.4,
      "above_50dma": false,
      "entry_tier": null,
      "affiliations": [],
      "n_affiliated_actors": 0,
      "thesis": null,
      "second_order": [],
      "falsifier": null,
      "clamped": null
    }
  ],
  "disclaimer": "An AI reading of the desk's own deterministic convergence \u2014 accountable and falsifiable, not a guarantee. Every call cites the channels/actors it is based on, is graded vs SPY over the horizon, and can be wrong or overconfident. The Mastermind sizes it through its own risk framework; treat as odds, not a forecast."
}